Inference for short‐memory time series models based on modified empirical likelihood

2020 ◽  
Vol 62 (3) ◽  
pp. 322-339
Author(s):  
Ramadha D. Piyadi Gamage ◽  
Wei Ning
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Empirical Likelihood ◽  
Time Series Models ◽  
Memory Time ◽  
Short Memory

scholarly journals Confidence Regions for Parameters in Stationary Time Series Models With Gaussian Noise

2022 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiuzhen Zhang ◽  
Riquan Zhang ◽  
Zhiping Lu
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Empirical Likelihood ◽  
Long Memory ◽  
Score Function ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Confidence Regions ◽  
Stationary Time Series ◽  
Time Series Models ◽  
Finite Sample ◽  
Memory Time

This article develops two new empirical likelihood methods for long-memory time series models based on adjusted empirical likelihood and mean empirical likelihood. By application of Whittle likelihood, one obtains a score function that can be viewed as the estimating equation of the parameters of the long-memory time series model. An empirical likelihood ratio is obtained which is shown to be asymptotically chi-square distributed. It can be used to construct confidence regions. By adding pseudo samples, we simultaneously eliminate the non-definition of the original empirical likelihood and enhance the coverage probability. Finite sample properties of the empirical likelihood confidence regions are explored through Monte Carlo simulation, and some real data applications are carried out.

scholarly journals Inference for Long-memory Time Series Models Based on Modified Empirical Likelihood

2020 ◽  
Vol 49 (5) ◽  
pp. 68-79
Author(s):  
Ramadha D. Piyadi Gamage ◽  
Wei Ning
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Empirical Likelihood ◽  
Long Memory ◽  
Small Sample ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Time Series Models ◽  
Sample Sizes ◽  
Coverage Probabilities ◽  
Memory Time ◽  
Small Sample Sizes

Empirical likelihood method has been applied to short-memory time series models by Monti (1997) through the Whittle's estimation method. Yau (2012) extended this idea to long-memory time series models. Asymptotic distributions of the empirical likelihood ratio statistic for short and long-memory time series have been derived to construct confidence regions for the corresponding model parameters. However, it experiences the undercoverage issue which causes the coverage probabilities of parameters lower than the given nominal levels, especially for small sample sizes. In this paper, we propose a modified empirical likelihood which combines the advantages of the adjusted empirical likelihood and the transformed empirical likelihood to modify the one proposed by Yau (2012) for autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average (ARFIMA) model for the purpose of improving coverage probabilities.Asymptotic null distribution of the test statistic has been established as the standard chi-square distribution with the degree of freedom one. Simulations have been conducted to investigate the performance of the proposed method as well as the comparisons of other existing methods to illustrate that the proposed method can provide better coverage probabilities especially for small sample sizes.

On the estimation of short memory components in long memory time series models

2016 ◽  
Vol 20 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard T. Baillie ◽  
George Kapetanios
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Long Memory ◽  
Time Series Models ◽  
Memory Process ◽  
Long Memory Process ◽  
Fractional Differencing ◽  
Memory Time ◽  
Short Memory ◽  
Short Memory Process ◽  
Memory Parameter

AbstractA substantial amount of recent time series research has emphasized semi-parameteric estimators of a long memory parameter and we provide a selective review of the literature on this issue. We consider such estimators applied to the issue of estimating the parameters relating to a short memory process which is embedded within the long memory process. We consider the fractional differencing filter and the subsequent properties of a two step estimator of the short memory parameters. We conclude that while the semi-parametric estimators can have excellent properties in terms of estimating the long memory parameter, they do not have good properties when applied to the two step estimator of short memory

scholarly journals Spatial long memory

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 243-256
Author(s):  
Peter M. Robinson
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Statistical Modeling ◽  
Spatial Data ◽  
Long Memory ◽  
The Other ◽  
Future Prospects ◽  
Memory Time ◽  
Short Memory ◽  
The One ◽  
Relevant Work

AbstractWe discuss developments and future prospects for statistical modeling and inference for spatial data that have long memory. While a number of contributons have been made, the literature is relatively small and scattered, compared to the literatures on long memory time series on the one hand, and spatial data with short memory on the other. Thus, over several topics, our discussions frequently begin by surveying relevant work in these areas that might be extended in a long memory spatial setting.

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