DIscrepancy of Gear Tooth Allowable Bending Stress Using the Extreme Value Distribution From Different Test Methods

Author(s):  
Chienann A. Hou ◽  
Shijun Ma

Abstract The allowable bending stress Se of a gear tooth is one of the basic factors in gear design. It can be determined by either the pulsating test or the gear-running test. However, some differences exist between the allowable bending stress Se obtained from these different test methods. In this paper, the probability distribution functions corresponding to each test method are analyzed and the expressions for the minimum extreme value distribution are presented. By using numerical integration, Se values from the population of the same tested gear tooth are obtained. Based on this investigation it is shown that the differences in Se obtained from the different test methods are significant. A proposed correction factor associated with the different experimental approaches is also presented.

Atmosphere ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 257 ◽  
Author(s):  
Juan Pablo Molina-Aguilar ◽  
Alfonso Gutierrez-Lopez ◽  
Jose Angel Raynal-Villaseñor ◽  
Luis Gabriel Garcia-Valenzuela

Due to its geographical position, Mexico is exposed annually to cold fronts and tropical cyclones, registering extremely high values that are atypical in the series of maximum annual flows. Univariate mixed probability distribution functions have been developed based on the theory of extreme values, which require techniques to determine their parameters. Therefore, this paper explores a function that considers three populations to analyze maximum annual flows. According to the structure of the Generalized Extreme-Value Distribution (GEV), the simultaneous definition of nine parameters is required: three of location, three of scale, and three of probability of occurrence. Thus, the use of a meta-heuristic technique was proposed (harmonic search). The precision of the adjustment was increased through the optimization of the parameters, and with it came a reduction in the uncertainty of the forecast, particularly for cyclonic events. It is concluded that the use of an extreme value distribution (Type I) structured with three populations and accompanied by the technique of harmonic search improves the performance in respect to classic techniques for the determination of its parameters.


1971 ◽  
Vol 8 (01) ◽  
pp. 136-156 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sidney I. Resnick

If for two c.d.f.'s F(·) and G(·), 1 – F(x)/1 – G(x) → A, 0 <A <∞ , as x → ∞, then for normalizing constants an > 0, bn, n > 1, Fn (anx + bn ) → φ(x), φ(x) non-degenerate, iff Gn (anx + bn )→ φ A−1(x). Conversely, if Fn (anx+bn )→ φ(x), Gn (anx + bn ) → φ'(x), φ(x) and φ'(x) non-degenerate, then there exist constants C >0 and D such that φ'(x) =φ(Cx + D) and limx→∞ 1 — F(x)/1 — G(x) exists and is expressed in terms of C and D, depending on which type of extreme value distribution φ(x) is. These results are used to study domain of attraction questions for products of distribution functions and to reduce the limit law problem for maxima of a sequence of random variables defined on a Markov chain (M.C.) to the independent, identically distributed (i.i.d.) case.


2021 ◽  
pp. 0309524X2110639
Author(s):  
Zuhair Bahraoui

The change of the wind speed is strictly related to several natural factors such as local topographical and the ground cover variations, then any adjustment has to take into account the statistical variation for each specific region under study. Unlike the Weibull distribution, which is most used in wind speed modeling, we investigate two alternative distribution functions for wind speed by using the extreme value theory. The generalized Champernowne distribution function and the mixture Log-normal-Pareto distribution function are considered. We demonstrate that the proper generalized extreme value distribution gives a good fit for wind speed in the North Moroccan. In order to validate the models, a comparison of the produced aggregate wind energy in the aeolian wind turbine was being established. The empirical study shows that the generalized extreme value distribution reflects better the intensity of the wind power energy.


1971 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 136-156 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sidney I. Resnick

If for two c.d.f.'s F(·) and G(·), 1 – F(x)/1 – G(x) → A, 0 <A <∞, as x → ∞, then for normalizing constants an > 0, bn, n > 1, Fn(anx + bn) → φ(x), φ(x) non-degenerate, iff Gn(anx + bn)→ φ A−1(x). Conversely, if Fn(anx+bn)→ φ(x), Gn(anx + bn) → φ'(x), φ(x) and φ'(x) non-degenerate, then there exist constants C >0 and D such that φ'(x) =φ(Cx + D) and limx→∞ 1 — F(x)/1 — G(x) exists and is expressed in terms of C and D, depending on which type of extreme value distribution φ(x) is. These results are used to study domain of attraction questions for products of distribution functions and to reduce the limit law problem for maxima of a sequence of random variables defined on a Markov chain (M.C.) to the independent, identically distributed (i.i.d.) case.


Author(s):  
Sindre M. Fritzner ◽  
Trond Sagerup

This paper provides a statistical description of the sea ice occurrence in the Barents Sea, using yearly maximum sea ice data for the last 36 years from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). A set of four distribution functions have been estimated with the maximum likelihood method. The distribution functions used were Extreme Value distribution, Gumbel distribution, Normal distribution and kernel density estimation. The normal distribution was found to fit the data best and provide the most likely result. Our results verify dependency of the North Atlantic current on the sea ice edge. Warm water northwards prevents the ice from extending south; this makes the extreme value distribution unlikely since this will prevent long tailed distributions. The results for sea ice occurrence are compared to the boundaries given in the proposed revision to NORSOK N-003. These boundaries were found to be too simplistic and not necessarily conservative. Here we have proposed new and more accurate boundaries for the sea ice occurrence. We have found trends indicating northwards movement of the sea ice edge in the Norwegian Sea and eastern parts of the Barents Sea. These trends are mostly due to less ice in the last ten years and not trends for the whole period. In the south-western parts of the Barents Sea where oil and gas operations are imminent no trends have been discovered. The lack of trend is related to the islands in the western Barents Sea.


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