Play Calling Strategy in American Football: A Game-Theoretic Stochastic Dynamic Programming Approach
Keyword(s):
This manuscript presents a model to assist in the determination of optimal American football play selection for first down and goal situations. A game theoretic approach is embedded within a stochastic dynamic programming formulation, resulting in a mixed strategy satisfying the ex-ante declared objective of maximizing the probability of scoring a touchdown. The methodology provides a quantitative framework to a problem that impacts on team performance and addresses a gap in the literature concerning the application of quantitative methods to sports.
2013 ◽
Vol 65
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pp. 634-645
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2020 ◽
pp. 1-17
1985 ◽
Vol PAS-104
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pp. 273-279
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2009 ◽
Vol 38
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pp. 2379-2397
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2018 ◽
Vol 265
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pp. 1033-1045
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