Estimation of the Hotelling Rule for Oil under Stochastic Investment Opportunities

2020 ◽  
pp. 427-447
Author(s):  
Johnson Kakeu ◽  
Mohammed Bouaddi
1995 ◽  
Vol 1995 (4) ◽  
pp. 5-11
Author(s):  
Stanley Kogelman ◽  
Martin L. Leibowitz

Author(s):  
Mohammad Benny Alexandri ◽  
Raeny Dwisanti

US and Indonesia stock markets are entering record heights without being offset by economic growthand profitability growth of their traded companies. There are several indicators for the stock marketbubble: (1) Price Ratio (Ear Ratio); (2) Price Ratio / Book (PB Ratio), the latter comparing thenominal price of one share at a market with the book value (the value of company's assets). Thecurrent PB ratio of the composite stock price index being 3.3 means that for each shares the assetvalue of which is 1 IDR, the stock would be worth 3.3 IDR. This is one of the most expensive price in the world today. Based on the above, for Indonesian stock market sharp decline is just a matter of time and waiting. This decline will be much sharper if triggered by the US financial crisis. We can also also see a bubble emerging from increasingly irrational investment attitudes. Currently, in addition to high prices for stocks and bonds, investors have started looking at investment opportunities in digital currencies. This research tries to know the potential of financial crisis and itseffect for the financial market in Indonesia. 


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