scholarly journals Estimation of Suspended Sediment Load Using Artificial Intelligence-Based Ensemble Model

Complexity ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-19
Author(s):  
Vahid Nourani ◽  
Huseyin Gokcekus ◽  
Gebre Gelete

Suspended sediment modeling is an important subject for decision-makers at the catchment level. Accurate and reliable modeling of suspended sediment load (SSL) is important for planning, managing, and designing of water resource structures and river systems. The objective of this study was to develop artificial intelligence- (AI-) based ensemble methods for modeling SSL in Katar catchment, Ethiopia. In this paper, three single AI-based models, that is, support vector machine (SVM), adaptive neurofuzzy inference system (ANFIS), feed-forward neural network (FFNN), and one conventional multilinear regression (MLR) modes, were used for SSL modeling. Besides, four different ensemble methods, neural network ensemble (NNE), ANFIS ensemble (AE), weighted average ensemble (WAE), and simple average ensemble (SAE), were developed by combining the outputs of the four single models to improve their predictive performance. The study used two-year (2016-2017) discharge and SSL data for training and verification of the applied models. Determination coefficient (DC) and root mean square error (RMSE) were used to evaluate the performances of the developed models. Based on the performance measure results, the ANFIS model provides higher efficiency than the other developed single models. Out of all developed ensemble models, the nonlinear ANFIS model combination method was found to be the most accurate method and could increase the efficiency of SVM, MLR, ANFIS, and FFNN models by 19.02%, 37%, 9.73%, and 16.3%, respectively, at the verification stage. Overall, the proposed ensemble models in general and the AI-based ensemble in particular provide excellent performance in SSL estimation.

The correct assessment of amount of sediment during design, management and operation of water resources projects is very important. Efficiency of dam has been reduced due to sedimentation which is built for flood control, irrigation, power generation etc. There are traditional methods for the estimation of sediment are available but these cannot provide the accurate results because of involvement of very complex variables and processes. One of the best suitable artificial intelligence technique for modeling this phenomenon is artificial neural network (ANN). In the current study ANN techniques used for simulation monthly suspended sediment load at Vijayawada gauging station in Krishna river basin, Andhra Pradesh, India. Trial & error method were used during the optimization of parameters that are involved in this model. Estimation of suspended sediment load (SSL) is done using water discharge and water level data as inputs. The water discharge, water level and sediment load is collected from January 1966 to December 2005. This approach is used for modelled the SSL. By considering the results, ANN has the satisfactory performance and more accurate results in the simulation of monthly SSL for the study location.


2018 ◽  
Vol 162 ◽  
pp. 03003 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mustafa Al-Mukhtar

Modeling of suspended sediment load in rivers has a major role in a proper management of water resources. Artificial intelligence has been identified as an efficient way to model the complex nonlinear hydrological relationship. In this study, Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS), in addition to two different kinds of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) i.e. feedforward and radial basis networks were used and compared to model the suspended sediment load (SSL) in Tigris River-Baghdad using the streamflow discharge as input. To this end, an intermittent data of SSL and streamflow were collected over the period 1962-1981 from Sarai station in Baghdad. 70 % of these data was used to calibrate (train) the networks and the remaining 30% for the validation (test). The coefficient of determination (R2), root mean square error (RMSE), and Nash and Sutcliffe model efficiency coefficient (NSE) were used to judge whether the observed and modelled data belong to the same distribution. Results revealed that the ANFIS model outperform the other methods. R2, RMSE, and NSE of ANFIS during the calibration phase were equal to 0.58, 75617, and 0.58, respectively and during the validation were 0.72, 27944, and 0.59, respectively. Therefore, ANFIS approach is recommended to estimate the river suspended sediment load.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document