Uncertainty analysis of numerical and experimental resistance tests for ONR Tumblehome

Author(s):  
C. Delen ◽  
S. Bal
2005 ◽  
Vol 127 (3) ◽  
pp. 604-610 ◽  
Author(s):  
F. Stern ◽  
A. Olivieri ◽  
J. Shao ◽  
J. Longo ◽  
T. Ratcliffe

A statistical approach for estimating intervals of certification or biases of facilities or measurement systems including uncertainties is set forth based on M×N-order level testing, which is defined as M repetitions of the same N-order level experiment in M different facilities or in the same facility with M different measurement systems. In the absence of reference values, the mean facility or measurement system is used for assessing intervals of certification or biases. Certification or biases of facilities or measurement systems are defined as processes for assessing probabilistic confidence intervals for facilities or measurement systems for specific tests, data reduction equations, conditions, procedures, and uncertainty analysis. Similarly, subgroup analysis is performed for isolating and assessing levels of differences due to use of different model sizes (scale effects) or measurement systems. An example is provided for towing tank facilities for resistance tests using standard uncertainty analysis procedures based on an international collaboration between three facilities. Although the number of facilities are at a minimum, the results demonstrate the usefulness of an approach and support recommendation of future collaborations between more facilities. Knowledge of intervals of certification or biases is important for design, accrediting facilities or measurement systems, and CFD validation.


2015 ◽  
Author(s):  
Baoshan Wu ◽  
Shaopeng Ji ◽  
Wentao Wang

International standards of energy efficiency design index (EEDI) for new ships from 2013 to 2025 have been in effect and it is very importance to make preliminary verification of EEDI of a ship at its design phase. Generally, a set of ship model tests in towing tank, including resistance tests, propeller open water tests and propulsion tests, are performed. However, it is a challenge yet to analyze the uncertainty in ship performance prediction based on these model tests. In this paper, a real example of bulk carrier is presented to demonstrate implementation of the ISO GUM into uncertainty analysis for prediction such powering performance in calm water, illustrating the detailed procedure for performance of model tests and uncertainty analysis in prediction. It is shown in this example the ship speed and the propeller rotating speed at 85% MCR are predicted at the level of confidence 95% as (13.65±0.19) knots and (132.9±1.6) rpm, respectively and additionally, the significant sources of uncertainty come from the measurement of drag in resistance tests and the towing forces in propulsion tests. That means higher precision or more repeat model tests would be required to obtain higher accuracy in prediction of a ship powering performance and less uncertainty in preliminary verification of EEDI at its design phase.


2014 ◽  
Author(s):  
M Bambang Ontowiryo ◽  
Akbar Kurniawan ◽  
Lalang Jati Sardinda ◽  
Suderajat Suderajat ◽  
Jati Priyantoro ◽  
...  

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document