scholarly journals Information Arrival between Price Change and Trading Volume in Crude Palm Oil Futures Market: A Non-linear Approach

2016 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 79-91 ◽  
Author(s):  
You-How Go ◽  
◽  
Wee-Yeap Lau
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 115-136
Author(s):  
You-How Go ◽  
◽  
Wee-Yeap Lau ◽  

This study examines the role of trading volume in the crude palm oil (CPO)futures market as a proxy for information áow from the perspective of the mixture-of-distributions hypothesis (MDH). Using the data from January 2000 to April 2017, a sym-metric GARCH model has been estimated, in which the residuals follow alternatively thenormal Student-t and generalised error distribution. An alternative augmented model thatconsists of trading volume as an exogenous variable is estimated with the same error dis-tributions. Our results suggest several conclusions: First, the trading volume could not actas a true proxy for information áow. This indicates that volume of futures trading containsrelatively less price-sensitive information. Secondly, the inclusion of trading volume into theconditional variance equation with Student-t distributed errors is important for modellingpurposes when the returns are leptokurtic and positively skewed. Hence, it can be concludedthat the use of return and trading volume will enhance the current information set usedby practitioners and analysts in pricing the CPO futures contract when there exists a highdegree of leptokurtosis in the returns. This is the Örst study that validates the MDH in thecontext of the CPO futures market


2022 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 34
Author(s):  
Xiu Wei Yeap ◽  
Hooi Hooi Lean

Trading activities represent the flow of market information to the investors. This paper examines the effect of trading activities, i.e., trading volume and open interest, on the volatility of return for Malaysian Crude Palm Oil Futures. The GARCH model is applied by adding the expected and unexpected elements of trading activities (trading volume and open interest) as the independent variables. The results show that there is a negative contemporaneous relationship between the expected volume and volatility, but that a positive relationship exists between unexpected volume and volatility. On the contrary, the expected and unexpected open interest mitigate the volatility. Therefore, both trading volume and open interest should be considered together when information flows into the market.


2018 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 123
Author(s):  
Noryati Ahmad ◽  
Ahmad Danial Zainudin ◽  
Fahmi Abdul Rahim ◽  
Catherine S F Ho

Since its establishment, Crude Palm Oil futures contract (FCPO) has been used to directly hedge its physical crude palm oil (CPO). However, due to the excessive speculation activities on crude palm oil futures market, it has been said to be no longer an effective hedging tool to mitigate the price risk of its underlying physical market. This triggers the need for market players to find possible alternatives to ensure that the hedging role can be executed effectively. Thus this investigation attempts to examine whether other inter-related grains and oil seed futures contracts could serve as effective cross-hedging mechanisms for the CPO. Weekly data of inter-related futures contracts from Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) and Dalian Commodity Exchange (DCE) are employed to cross hedge the physical crude palm oil prices. The study starts from 2006 until 2016. Empirical results indicate that FCPO is still the best futures contract for hedging purposes while Chicago Soybean (CBOTBO) provides second best alternative if cross-hedging is considered. Keywords: Crude palm oil, Crude palm oil futures, Cross Hedging, Optimal Hedge Ratio, Effective Hedging


2018 ◽  
Vol 38 (6) ◽  
pp. 673-695 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stuart Snaith ◽  
Neil M. Kellard ◽  
Norzalina Ahmad

2014 ◽  
pp. 381-390
Author(s):  
Jawwad Ahmed Farid
Keyword(s):  
Palm Oil ◽  

2019 ◽  
Vol 24 (Supp.1) ◽  
pp. 61-78
Author(s):  
Khalil Ahmed ◽  
◽  
Zurina Shafii ◽  
Amir Shaharuddin ◽  
Nur Azira Mohd ◽  
...  

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