International Journal of Economics and Finance
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Published By Canadian Center Of Science And Education

1916-9728, 1916-971x

2022 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Edward Alabie Borteye ◽  
Williams Kwasi Peprah

The study confirms the debate on whether stock market development correlates to economic growth. The dimensions used for the stock market development consisted of market liquidity, size, and capitalization. Economic growth was represented by the real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate. Based on secondary data obtained from the Ghana Stock Exchange (GSE) and Ghana Statistical Service from 2014 to 2018, a correlational research design was adopted to analyze the data with SPSS 20v by using bivariate and regression. The study found that there is a high positive relationship between market liquidity and economic growth, a moderate negative relationship between market size and economic growth, and a moderate positive relationship between market capitalization and economic growth. Also, the stock market development of market liquidity, size, and capitalization predict 95.7 percent of economic growth. The study summarized that there is a high positive association between stock market development and economic growth as a confirmatory revelation, but all the relationship results were not statistically significant. The result points to the casualty of the relationship between stock market development and economic growth. The study recommends that more firms must be encouraged to be listed on GSE to enhance economic growth in Ghana.


2022 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 75
Author(s):  
David Terfa Akighir ◽  
Tyagher Margaret ◽  
Jacob Terungwa Tyagher ◽  
Tordue Emmanuel Kpoghul

Twelve (12) out of the Twenty-three (23) local government areas (LGAs) in Benue State do not have the presence of banks over a long period of time. This situation has deprived the inhabitants of these LGAs of access to formal financial services until the advent of agency banking. This study therefore, investigates the impact of agency banking on financial inclusion and economic activities in Benue State focusing on the agency banking activities of First Bank Ltd. The study is anchored on the agency theory and it used a survey design. The study has utilized both primary and secondary data that were analyzed using descriptive statistical tools and structural equation models. Findings of the study have revealed that agency banking activities of First Bank Ltd have immensely enhanced financial inclusion and economic activities in Benue State. However, challenges such as shortages of cash, security problems, network failures, and lack of financial literacy are militating against the smooth operations of the agency banking in the State. On the basis of these findings, the study has recommended among others that, other banks operating in the State should be encouraged to venture into agency banking in the state so as to have a wider coverage of agency banking in the State. Also, government should provide security and partner with the private sector to provide national carrier communication network system to overcome the network failure challenge. Finally, banks should intensify efforts to educate the masses about the validity and potency of agency banking.


2022 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 61
Author(s):  
Samuel Bonzu

This paper empirically investigate whether the budget imbalances in Sierra Leone over the review period is consistent with optimal tax policy. The procedure involves testing if tax smoothing hypothesis hold for Sierra Leone. In this regard, three different empirical approaches were performed. Firstly, I examine the random walk property of the tax rate. The null hypothesis of non-stationarity of tax rate could not be rejected, which implies the tax rate follows random walk. Second, I examined whether changes in tax rate is predictable by regressing changes in tax rate by its own lagged values. The result shows that tax rate is unpredictable, as changes in tax cannot be determined by its lagged values. Finally, a VAR model was employed to examine whether tax rate can be predicted by its own lagged values together with changes in the government spending rate and the growth rate of real GDP. The results indicate that all the variables employed were found not be significant is predicating the tax rate. Overall, all the empirical estimations support the existence of tax smoothing over the sample period and that the budget inbalances over the review period is consistent with optimal tax policy.


2022 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 51
Author(s):  
Emad Omar Elhendawy

The aim of this study is to identify the extent to which there is an effect of external debt service on the exchange rate in Egypt in the long run, where the change in the exchange rate has great importance in changing currency value and thus affecting its function as a store of value and a standard for forward payments and then in the redistribution of income and wealth, It also has an effect on some macroeconomic variables, such as inflation, exports, imports, and thus the current account. The study examines the estimation of the long-run relationship between the external debt service and the exchange rate in Egypt in the period 1980-2019 and relies on the exchange rate of the dollar against the Egyptian pound as a dependent variable, while the explanatory variables were the external debt service, gross capital formation, broad money growth, deposit interest rate, household final consumption expenditure, gross savings, and terms of trade adjustment. The methodology is based on Vector Error Correction (VEC) and the study concluded that there is a significant long-term relationship between the value of the Egyptian pound and all the variables explained in the study, as the error correction coefficient is negative and significant. Also, there is an inverse statistically significant relationship between the value of the Egyptian pound and each of the external debt service, the deposit interest rate, and gross savings; any change of 1% in the external debt service, the deposit interest rate, and gross savings leads to a devaluation of the Egyptian pound against the dollar by 4.8%, 0.04%, and 0.05%, respectively. The study also concluded that there is a positive, statistically significant relationship in the long term between the value of the Egyptian pound and each of gross capital formation, broad money growth, households' and NPISHs' final consumption expenditure, and terms of trade adjustment, as any change of 1% in these variables leads to an increase in the value of the Egyptian pound by 0.16%, 0.05%, 0.27%, and 6%, respectively. This study recommends that decision makers consider all the reasons that would reduce the external debt service in order to preserve the value of the Egyptian currency in the long run.


2022 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 44
Author(s):  
Doh-Khul Kim ◽  
Sung-Min Kim

Investors generally believe that rising stocks are more likely to maintain their trend and rise going forward, whereas the losing stocks look more price attractive. This belief can lead the investors to expect that they can outperform the average market by trading the stocks purely based on the price movements. However, this research finds that this simple trading strategy does not effectively outperform the market. Nonetheless, we find five sectors of rising stocks and three sectors of declining stocks that outperform the average market in this limited study.


2022 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 32
Author(s):  
Osama Wagdi ◽  
Yasmeen Tarek

This study investigates the effectiveness of technology models in credit risk scoring modeling in emerging markets. the study proposes evaluation methods for credit risk scoring modeling for current and potential borrowers through an investigation into the Egyptian banking industry by offering and examining a framework for the integration of big data and artificial neural networks based on systematic and unsystematic risk for both the macroeconomic environment and characteristics of current and potential borrowers. The data for the borrowers under examination covers the period from 2015 to 2019 for 75 firms, excluding 2020 and 2021 data to isolate the impact of COVID-19 on the results of the inferred statistics. Artificial Neural Networks was training within 25 firms under NeuroXL program but examination for 50 firms. The study found the ability of artificial neural networks to rank the commitment of borrowers in Egyptian banks under big data about the firm and Egyptian economy. Additions to discrepancy between the proposed model against some traditional models. Finally; The Integration of Big Data and ANN can help banks to bring out the value of data within create a level of financial stability for banks. Especially in emerging markets characterized by information inefficiency.


2022 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 23
Author(s):  
Soleman Alsabban ◽  
Bander Alghamdi ◽  
Saud Altamimi

The headline inflation in Saudi Arabia is subject to dramatic changes caused by new policies as the economy is undergoing structural changes since 2016. These changes could mislead policymakers as the underlying inflation may differ from the headline one. Since the announcement of Saudi Vision 2030 in April 2016, the Saudi economy entered a new era where the government has started to reform the economy to reduce its dependence on oil. As a result, many initiatives have been implemented with different impacts on the headline inflation such as imposing new taxes and expat levies and reforming energy prices. This research aims to calculate the core inflation in Saudi Arabia using two different methods: Trimmed Mean, and Median CPI. These two different methods were assessed based on their ability to track trends in the headline inflation over time as measured by the root mean square error and it ability to predict the future headline inflation.


2022 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Maria Luisa Di Battista ◽  
Laura Nieri ◽  
Marina Resta ◽  
Alessandra Tanda

This paper analyzes the features of the boards of large listed European banks and their degree of “collective suitability” as formalized by the Capital Requirements Directives (CRD4) and evaluates whether closer proximity to the collective suitability regulatory paradigm affects banks’ performance, risk and risk-adjusted performance. We leverage Self-Organizing Maps (SOMs) to analyze board features and suitability (i.e. competence, diversity, independence and time commitment) jointly as a multifaceted, non-linear combination of all board variables, rather than evaluating the single variables individually as in the mainstream literature. Using a hand-collected dataset based on numerous features of boards of directors, we find that European banks’ boards can be classified in four different board archetypes characterized by different degrees of collective suitability. Our findings also suggest positive relationships between the degree of collective suitability and performance, risk-adjusted performance, and risk, confirming that the regulatory provisions on governance are going in the right direction, enhancing effective and prudent management.


2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 98
Author(s):  
Luis Rene Caceres

This paper analyzes the macroeconomic repercussions of the existence of idle youth in a cross-section of Latin American countries. The results indicate that idle youth has a close association with the indices of gender inequality and governance, and with informality. By estimating a series of equations, it was possible to infer that idle youth exerts adverse effects on economic growth, the domestic saving rate and economic vulnerability. It is also reported that the prevention of idle youth rests on substantial increases in tax revenues so as to increase social spending.


2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 91
Author(s):  
Tara Kou

In this paper, I build an economic model and adapt it to fit Singapore’s economic and historical background. My empirical analysis is based on data about external debt to GDP, foreign investment, and net export products and partners. But I also address concerns about risk factors coming from covid and the oil crisis. In my analysis, even in the worst case, Singapore is not going to be worse than the Netherlands in the IIR rating, which corresponds to an IIR rating of 90. In contrast to my baseline, risk assessment for Singapore is a rating of 93.


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