scholarly journals Arbitrage opportunities in sub-fractional Black-Scholes model

Author(s):  
Xiao Weilin ◽  
Zhou Qing ◽  
Wu Weixing
2015 ◽  
Vol 18 (05) ◽  
pp. 1550029 ◽  
Author(s):  
FERNANDO CORDERO ◽  
LAVINIA PEREZ-OSTAFE

We study the arbitrage opportunities in the presence of transaction costs in a sequence of binary markets approximating the fractional Black–Scholes model. This approximating sequence was constructed by Sottinen and named fractional binary markets. Since, in the frictionless case, these markets admit arbitrage, we aim to determine the size of the transaction costs needed to eliminate the arbitrage from these models. To gain more insight, we first consider only 1-step trading strategies and we prove that arbitrage opportunities appear when the transaction costs are of order [Formula: see text]. Next, we characterize the asymptotic behavior of the smallest transaction costs [Formula: see text], called "critical" transaction costs, starting from which the arbitrage disappears. Since the fractional Black–Scholes model is arbitrage-free under arbitrarily small transaction costs, one could expect that [Formula: see text] converges to zero. However, the true behavior of [Formula: see text] is opposed to this intuition. More precisely, we show, with the help of a new family of trading strategies, that [Formula: see text] converges to one. We explain this apparent contradiction and conclude that it is appropriate to see the fractional binary markets as a large financial market and to study its asymptotic arbitrage opportunities. Finally, we construct a 1-step asymptotic arbitrage in this large market when the transaction costs are of order o(1/NH), whereas for constant transaction costs, we prove that no such opportunity exists.


Author(s):  
Hamed Abd Elkaway El Kawaga ◽  
Asharf Sayed Abdelzaher

The use of pricing a model's insurance derivatives in corporate risk management, particularity in insurance has grown rapidly recently. Financial prices for insurance reflects equilibrium relationships between risk and return or, minimally, avoid the creation of arbitrage opportunities. The major objective of this article is to provide evidence that in the Egyptian insurance market during the period 2002-2013, using Black-Scholes model, there was a transfer of wealth from policyholders to insurance companies via overvaluation of insurance premiums. This contribution may have some crucial implications in terms of the “fairness” of pricing insurance contracts.


Author(s):  
Yasushi Ota ◽  
Yu Jiang ◽  
Gen Nakamura ◽  
Masaaki Uesaka

This paper investigates an inverse problem of option pricing in the extended Black--Scholes model. We identify the model coefficients from the measured data and attempt to find arbitrage opportunities in financial markets using a Bayesian inference approach. The posterior probability density function of the parameters is computed from the measured data. The statistics of the unknown parameters are estimated by Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), which explores the posterior state space. The efficient sampling strategy of MCMC enables us to solve inverse problems by the Bayesian inference technique. Our numerical results indicate that the Bayesian inference approach can simultaneously estimate the unknown drift and volatility coefficients from the measured data.


2021 ◽  
Vol 63 ◽  
pp. 143-162
Author(s):  
Xin-Jiang He ◽  
Sha Lin

We derive an analytical approximation for the price of a credit default swap (CDS) contract under a regime-switching Black–Scholes model. To achieve this, we first derive a general formula for the CDS price, and establish the relationship between the unknown no-default probability and the price of a down-and-out binary option written on the same reference asset. Then we present a two-step procedure: the first step assumes that all the future information of the Markov chain is known at the current time and presents an approximation for the conditional price under a time-dependent Black–Scholes model, based on which the second step derives the target option pricing formula written in a Fourier cosine series. The efficiency and accuracy of the newly derived formula are demonstrated through numerical experiments. doi:10.1017/S1446181121000274


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