scholarly journals Analysis of time overruns in roads and highways sector in India using AHP ranking technique

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (3.29) ◽  
pp. 259
Author(s):  
Siddesh K. Pai ◽  
Avinash Kumar Singh ◽  
Ankur Mittal ◽  
Neeraj Anand

In today’s scenario there will be a competition exists among various construction firm, so the risk management come into picture to assess the various risk related to project. Assigning the right severity factor as per the possibility of occurrence will impart the success of organization as well as success will impart the growth of nation with increase in G.D.P. In construction of road the assessment of right severity factor, will be considered as strength to lower down the delay of time over run. Tremendous amount of effort are applied in quantitative and qualitative manner for assessment of risk severity factor. However, many criteria for risk severity factor enable the decision making methods will smoothen the process of arriving at a solution and enable decision makers to make the right decisions. Decision-making problems need systematic approach to appraise the various alternatives using quantitative and non quantitative factors. Standard methods for solving problems will lack considerations of non-quantitative factors, where numeric values are difficult to assign. Different techniques like, Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), Fuzzy set theory Making and Multi Criteria Decision are being used in risk severity factor. These techniques consider factors with concrete values or vague values. This research will provide solution to a risk severity factor for budget allocation problem, for allocating funds to competing and deserving organizations by using ranking analysis technique. Fuzzy set theory and AHP is used to calculate the Weights .Fuzzy set considers subjective values like preferred, strongly preferred etc. and Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) technique evaluates relative importance of factors by making pair wise comparison matrix. The evaluation technique will facilitate in ranking of various severity factors according to their possibility of occurrence after assigning weights to decision making factor.   

Author(s):  
Thomas L. Saaty ◽  
Liem T. Tran

Using fuzzy set theory has become attractive to many people. However, the many references cited here and in other works, little thought is given to why numbers should be made fuzzy before plunging into the necessary simulations to crank out numbers without giving reason or proof that it works to one’s advantage. In fact it does not often do that, certainly not in decision making. Regrettably, many published papers that use fuzzy set theory presumably to get better answers were not judged thoroughly by reviewers knowledgeable in both fuzzy theory and decision making. Buede and Maxwell (1995), who had done experiments on different ways of making decisions, found that fuzzy does the poorest job of obtaining the right decision as compared with other ways. “These experiments demonstrated that the MAVT (Multiattribute Value Theory) and AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) techniques, when provided with the same decision outcome data, very often identify the same alternatives as ‘best’. The other techniques are noticeably less consistent with the Fuzzy algorithm being the least consistent.”


2010 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 23-40 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas L. Saaty ◽  
Liem T. Tran

Using fuzzy set theory has become attractive to many people. However, the many references cited here and in other works, little thought is given to why numbers should be made fuzzy before plunging into the necessary simulations to crank out numbers without giving reason or proof that it works to one’s advantage. In fact it does not often do that, certainly not in decision making. Regrettably, many published papers that use fuzzy set theory presumably to get better answers were not judged thoroughly by reviewers knowledgeable in both fuzzy theory and decision making. Buede and Maxwell (1995), who had done experiments on different ways of making decisions, found that fuzzy does the poorest job of obtaining the right decision as compared with other ways. “These experiments demonstrated that the MAVT (Multiattribute Value Theory) and AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) techniques, when provided with the same decision outcome data, very often identify the same alternatives as ‘best’. The other techniques are noticeably less consistent with the Fuzzy algorithm being the least consistent.”


2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 11
Author(s):  
Syamsul Huda ◽  
Pregiwati Pusporini ◽  
Said Salim Dahda

Pemilihan supplier merupakan salah satu aktivitas dalam rangkaian pekerjaan CV Sarung Indah Sejahtera. Aktivitas ini dikategorikan dalam aktivitas strategis, karena peran supplier akan turut dalam menentukan keberhasilan perusahaan, apabila barang yang disediakan supplier tidak sesuai dengan kebutuhan perusahaan, maka dapat dipastikan bahwa proses pekerjaan akan terganggu. Berpijak dari latar belakang tersebut maka tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah menentukan supplier yang dapat memberikan perfomansi terbaik, berdasarkan kriteria dan subkriteria yang telah ditentukan perusahaan. CV Sarung Indah Sejahterah adalah sebuah perusahaan yang memproduksi dan menjual sarung tenun tangan tanpa mesin, sehingga kualitas menjadi hal yang sangat penting. Penelitian ini melibatkan lebih dari satu kriteria dalam menentukan supplier, agar dapat membuat keputusan yang tepat maka diperlukan metode Multi Criteria Decision Making (MCDM). Metode yang digunakan disini adalah metode Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) dan Fuzzy Set, yang untuk selanjutnya disebut dengan metode Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process (FAHP). Yaitu ketidakmampuan dalam mempertimbangkan ketidakpastian yang muncul akibat subjektivitas manusia. Hasil penenelitian menenjukkan bahwa tedapat 4 kriteria yang harus dipertimbangkan dalam menentukan supplier di CV Sarung Indah Sejahterah. Keempat kriteria tersebut adalah pengiriman, kualitas, pelayanan, harga. Hasil dari tahapan metode Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process (FAHP). Didapatkan urutan sebagai berikut : Supplier 1 BNP 101,813, Supplier 2 BNP 117,29, Supplier 3 BNP 99,59.


Author(s):  
Beyza Ahlatcioglu Ozkok ◽  
Hale Gonce Kocken

Analytic hierarchy process (AHP) is a widely used multi-attribute decision-making (MADM) approach. Due to the complexity and uncertainty involved in real world problems, decision makers might be prefer to make fuzzy judgments instead of crisp ones. Furthermore, even when people use the same words, individual judgments of events are invariably subjective, and the interpretations that they attach to the same words may differ. This is why fuzzy numbers has been introduced to characterize linguistic variables. Fuzzy AHP methods have recently been extended by using type-2 fuzzy sets. Type-2 fuzzy set theory incorporates the uncertainty of membership functions into the fuzzy set theory. In this chapter, the authors firstly provide a short review on applications of interval type-2 fuzzy AHP on MADM problems. Then, they present a very efficient MADM technique, interval type-2 fuzzy AHP, to solve the portfolio selection problem that is to decide which stocks are to be chosen for investment and in what proportions they will be bought. And finally, they provided a case study on BIST.


2017 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
pp. 196-222 ◽  
Author(s):  
Giustina Secundo ◽  
Donato Magarielli ◽  
Emilio Esposito ◽  
Giuseppina Passiante

Purpose Service supplier selection is a multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) problem assuming a strategic role for the competitiveness of high-tech manufacturing companies. Nevertheless, especially for service quality evaluation, there is little empirical evidence of the practical usefulness of MCDM methodologies. Aiming to cover this gap between theoretical approaches and empirical applications, the purpose of this paper is to propose a fuzzy extended analytic hierarchy process (FEAHP) approach for service supplier evaluation. Design/methodology/approach A hybrid approach which combines some of the strengths of the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and of the fuzzy set theory is presented, as organized into five steps. A case study is used to evaluate the applicability in a real company context. Findings The usability of the approach is demonstrated in an aerospace company for solving the supplier selection problem of a business software whose applications are still in infancy: a Test Data Management System (TDMS). The illustrative application contains both “general” criteria to be used for other service supplier selection contexts as well as service-specific criteria related to software selection. Research limitations/implications Even if the application regards the selection of a software supplier, the methodology can be generically extended to other services’ selection in complex manufacturing industries through the personalization of some criteria. Practical implications Implications can be derived both for business managers involved into the decision-making process and for suppliers identifying the most promising features of software quality. Originality/value The originality consists in the combination into a hybrid approach of the strong points of the AHP with the fuzzy set; the inclusion of multiple perspectives of decision criteria for service supplier selection, basically the “software product” and “supplier” ones; a real empirical application to test and demonstrate the efficacy and the practical utility of the proposed approach.


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