Bankruptcy prediction for Japanese firms: using Multiple Criteria Linear Programming data mining approach

Author(s):  
Wikil Kwak ◽  
Yong Shi ◽  
Susan W. Eldridge ◽  
Gang Kou
2011 ◽  
Vol 27 (5) ◽  
pp. 73 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wikil Kwak ◽  
Susan Eldridge ◽  
Yong Shi ◽  
Gang Kou

<span style="font-family: Times New Roman; font-size: small;"> </span><h1 style="margin: 0in 0.5in 0pt; text-align: justify; page-break-after: auto; mso-pagination: none;"><span style="font-family: Times New Roman;"><span style="color: black; font-size: 10pt; mso-themecolor: text1;">Our study evaluates a multiple criteria linear programming (MCLP) </span><span style="color: black; font-size: 10pt; mso-themecolor: text1; mso-fareast-language: KO;">and other </span><span style="color: black; font-size: 10pt; mso-themecolor: text1;">data mining approach</span><span style="color: black; font-size: 10pt; mso-themecolor: text1; mso-fareast-language: KO;">es</span><span style="color: black; font-size: 10pt; mso-themecolor: text1;"> </span><span style="color: black; font-size: 10pt; mso-themecolor: text1; mso-fareast-language: KO;">to predict auditor changes using a portfolio of financial statement measures to capture financial distress</span><span style="color: black; font-size: 10pt; mso-themecolor: text1;">.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The results of the MCLP approach and the other data mining approaches show that these methods perform</span><span style="color: black; font-size: 10pt; mso-themecolor: text1; mso-fareast-language: KO;"> reasonably well to predict auditor changes </span><span style="color: black; font-size: 10pt; mso-themecolor: text1;">using financial distress variables.</span><span style="color: black; font-size: 10pt; mso-themecolor: text1; mso-fareast-language: KO;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Overall accuracy rates are more than 60 percent, and true positive rates exceed 80 percent.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Our study is designed to establish a starting point for auditor-change prediction using financial distress variables.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Further research should incorporate additional explanatory variables and a longer study period to improve prediction rates.</span></span></h1><span style="font-family: Times New Roman; font-size: small;"> </span>


2008 ◽  
pp. 26-49 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yong Shi ◽  
Yi Peng ◽  
Gang Kou ◽  
Zhengxin Chen

This chapter provides an overview of a series of multiple criteria optimization-based data mining methods, which utilize multiple criteria programming (MCP) to solve data mining problems, and outlines some research challenges and opportunities for the data mining community. To achieve these goals, this chapter first introduces the basic notions and mathematical formulations for multiple criteria optimization-based classification models, including the multiple criteria linear programming model, multiple criteria quadratic programming model, and multiple criteria fuzzy linear programming model. Then it presents the real-life applications of these models in credit card scoring management, HIV-1 associated dementia (HAD) neuronal dam-age and dropout, and network intrusion detection. Finally, the chapter discusses research challenges and opportunities.


Author(s):  
Yong Shi ◽  
Yi Peng ◽  
Gang Kou ◽  
Zhengxin Chen

This chapter provides an overview of a series of multiple criteria optimization-based data mining methods, which utilize multiple criteria programming (MCP) to solve data mining problems, and outlines some research challenges and opportunities for the data mining community. To achieve these goals, this chapter first introduces the basic notions and mathematical formulations for multiple criteria optimization- based classification models, including the multiple criteria linear programming model, multiple criteria quadratic programming model, and multiple criteria fuzzy linear programming model. Then it presents the real-life applications of these models in credit card scoring management, HIV-1 associated dementia (HAD) neuronal damage and dropout, and network intrusion detection. Finally, the chapter discusses research challenges and opportunities.


2011 ◽  
Vol 25 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
Wikil Kwak ◽  
Susan Eldridge ◽  
Yong Shi ◽  
Gang Kou

<h1 style="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: justify; MARGIN: 0in 0.5in 0pt"><span style="font-family: Times New Roman;"><span style="COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 10pt">Our study proposes a multiple criteria linear programming (MCLP) </span><span style="COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-fareast-language: KO">and other data mining </span><span style="COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 10pt">method</span><span style="COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-fareast-language: KO">s</span><span style="COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 10pt"> to predict </span><span style="COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-fareast-language: KO">material weaknesses in a firm&rsquo;s internal control system after the Sarbanes-Oxley Act</span><span style="COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 10pt"> (SOX) using </span><span style="COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-fareast-language: KO">2003-2004</span><span style="COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 10pt"> </span><span style="COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-fareast-language: KO">U.S. </span><span style="COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 10pt">data.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">&nbsp; </span>The results of the MCLP </span><span style="COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-fareast-language: KO">and other data mining </span><span style="COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 10pt">approaches in </span><span style="COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-fareast-language: KO">our</span><span style="COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 10pt"> </span><span style="COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-fareast-language: KO">prediction </span><span style="COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 10pt">study show that the </span><span style="COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-fareast-language: KO">MCLP</span><span style="COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 10pt"> method performs</span><span style="COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-fareast-language: KO"> </span><span style="COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 10pt">better overall than the </span><span style="COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-fareast-language: KO">other data mining approaches </span><span style="COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 10pt">using financial </span><span style="COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-fareast-language: KO">and other </span><span style="COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 10pt">data from the Form 10-K report.</span><span style="COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-fareast-language: KO"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes">&nbsp; </span>Consistent with prior research, firms that disclosed material weaknesses in their SOX Section 302 disclosures were more complex (based on the existence of foreign currency translations), more often used Big 4 auditors, and had lower operating cash flows-to-total assets ratios than the non-material weakness control firms.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">&nbsp; </span>Because of mixed results on several profitability measures and marginal predictive ability for the MCLP and other methods used, more research is needed to identify firm characteristics that help investors, auditors, and others predict material weaknesses.</span></span></h1>


2011 ◽  
Vol 31 (6) ◽  
pp. 504-523 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mehdi Divsalar ◽  
Habib Roodsaz ◽  
Farshad Vahdatinia ◽  
Ghassem Norouzzadeh ◽  
Amir Hossein Behrooz

Author(s):  
YONG SHI ◽  
YI PENG ◽  
WEIXUAN XU ◽  
XIAOWO TANG

Data mining becomes a cutting-edge information technology tool in today's competitive business world. It helps the company discover previously unknown, valid, and actionable information from various and large databases for crucial business decisions. This paper provides a promising approach of data mining to classify the credit cardholders' behavior through multiple criteria linear programming. After reviewing the history of linear discriminant analyses, we will describe first a model for classifying two-group (e.g. bad or good) credit cardholder behaviors, and then a three-group (e.g. bad, normal, or good) credit model. Besides the discussion of the modeling structure, we will utilize the well-known commercial software package SAS to implement this technology by using a real-life credit card data warehouse. A number of potential business and financial applications will be finally summarized.


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