scholarly journals Corporate Bond Spreads and Real Activity in the Euro Area - Least Angle Regression Forecasting and the Probability of the Recession

2011 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marco Buchmann

Author(s):  
Vladimir Borgy ◽  
Thomas Laubach ◽  
Jean-Stéphane Mésonnier ◽  
Jean-Paul Renne




Author(s):  
Guillaume Horny ◽  
Simone Manganelli ◽  
Benoot Mojon






2020 ◽  
Vol 537 ◽  
pp. 122643 ◽  
Author(s):  
Konstantinos Gkillas ◽  
Athanasios Tsagkanos ◽  
Argyro Svingou ◽  
Costas Siriopoulos
Keyword(s):  


2014 ◽  
Vol 229 ◽  
pp. F2-F2

Following growth of 3.1 per cent in 2013, the world economy will grow by 3.5 per cent in 2014 and 3.7 per cent in 2015.The pace of recovery remains slow and uneven; much of the Euro Area in particular remains very depressed.Key risks include deflationary pressures in the Euro area; the Chinese financial system; and the conflicting pressures on monetary policy from very buoyant financial markets and relatively weak real activity.



2015 ◽  
Vol 05 (03) ◽  
pp. 1550007 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jan Ericsson ◽  
Joel Reneby ◽  
Hao Wang

Using a set of structural models, we evaluate the price of default protection for a sample of US corporations. In contrast to previous evidence from corporate bond data, credit default swap (CDS) premia are not systematically underestimated. In fact, one of our studied models has little difficulty on average in predicting their level. For robustness, we perform the same exercise for bond spreads by the same issuers on the same trading date. As expected, bond spreads relative to the treasury curve are systematically underestimated. This is not the case when the swap curve is used as a benchmark, suggesting that previously documented underestimation results may be sensitive to the choice of risk-free rate.



Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document