Conditional Phase-Type Distribution Under Doubly Stochastic Jump Markov Processes with Observed Covariates

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Budhi Arta Surya
2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (4) ◽  
pp. 671-683 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Krishnamoorthy ◽  
P. K. Pramod ◽  
S. R. Chakravarthy

2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 131-138 ◽  
Author(s):  
Femin Yalcin ◽  
Serkan Eryilmaz ◽  
Ali Riza Bozbulut

AbstractIn this paper, a generalized class of run shock models associated with a bivariate sequence {(Xi, Yi)}i≥1 of correlated random variables is defined and studied. For a system that is subject to shocks of random magnitudes X1, X2, ... over time, let the random variables Y1, Y2, ... denote times between arrivals of successive shocks. The lifetime of the system under this class is defined through a compound random variable T = ∑Nt=1 Yt , where N is a stopping time for the sequence {Xi}i≤1 and represents the number of shocks that causes failure of the system. Another random variable of interest is the maximum shock size up to N, i.e. M = max {Xi, 1≤i≤ N}. Distributions of T and M are investigated when N has a phase-type distribution.


1985 ◽  
Vol 22 (01) ◽  
pp. 247-250 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Assaf ◽  
Naftali A. Langberg

It is shown that any phase-type distribution can be represented as a proper mixture of two distinct phase-type distributions. Using different terms, it is shown that the class of phase-type distributions does not include any extreme ones. A similar result holds for the subclass of upper-triangular phase-type distributions.


Risks ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 53
Author(s):  
Franck Adékambi ◽  
Kokou Essiomle

This paper examines the impact of the parameters of the distribution of the time at which a bank’s client defaults on their obligated payments, on the Lundberg adjustment coefficient, the upper and lower bounds of the ruin probability. We study the corresponding ruin probability on the assumption of (i) a phase-type distribution for the time at which default occurs and (ii) an embedding of the stochastic cash flow or the reserves of the bank to the Sparre Andersen model. The exact analytical expression for the ruin probability is not tractable under these assumptions, so Cramér Lundberg bounds types are obtained for the ruin probabilities with concomitant explicit equations for the calculation of the adjustment coefficient. To add some numerical flavour to our results, we provide some numerical illustrations.


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