scholarly journals The Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks

Author(s):  
Silvia Miranda-Agrippino ◽  
Giovanni Ricco
2015 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 44-76 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mark Gertler ◽  
Peter Karadi

We provide evidence on the transmission of monetary policy shocks in a setting with both economic and financial variables. We first show that shocks identified using high frequency surprises around policy announcements as external instruments produce responses in output and inflation that are typical in monetary VAR analysis. We also find, however, that the resulting “modest” movements in short rates lead to “large” movements in credit costs, which are due mainly to the reaction of both term premia and credit spreads. Finally, we show that forward guidance is important to the overall strength of policy transmission. (JEL E31, E32, E43, E44, E52, G01)


2019 ◽  
Vol 24 (8) ◽  
pp. 1881-1903
Author(s):  
Aarti Singh ◽  
Stefano Tornielli Di Crestvolant

We examine whether input–output interactions among industries impact the transmission of monetary policy shocks through the economy. Using vector autoregressive (VAR) methods we find evidence of heterogeneity in the output response to a monetary policy shock in both finished goods industries and intermediate goods industries. While output responses in finished goods industries can be related to heterogeneity in industry characteristics, this relationship is not so obvious for intermediate goods industries. For the intermediate goods industries in our sample, we find new evidence of demand-spillover effects that impact the transmission of monetary policy via input–output linkages.


2021 ◽  
Vol 52 (4) ◽  
pp. 37-65
Author(s):  
M.Ye. Mamonov ◽  
◽  
A.A. Pestova ◽  
◽  

In this paper, we compare the transmission of monetary policy shocks using quarterly data for 13 emerging market economies (EMEs) with that in a benchmark advanced open economy, the United Kingdom, in the periods of inflation targeting (from 1990s onward). To estimate the transmission within a given country, we specify a monetary VAR-model and we extend it with a variable reflecting commodities terms of trade. We identify monetary policy shocks using a sign restriction scheme: a restrictive shock is determined as an unexpected rise of policy rate and reduction of inflation (CPI) and money demand (M2). We apply the Bayesian approach to estimating VARs to address the curse of dimensionality. Our results indicate that monetary policy in EMEs is not less efficient comparable to the U.K.: restrictive monetary shocks decrease inflation but also lead to a slowdown of GDP and stock market outflows. Overall, our findings add to the debate on the real effects of monetary policy surprises with a special attention to a large set of EMEs.


2018 ◽  
Vol 17 (4) ◽  
pp. 1261-1293 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alessandro Galesi ◽  
Omar Rachedi

Abstract The structural transformation from manufacturing to services comes with a process of services deepening: the services share of intermediate inputs rises over time. Moreover, inflation reacts less to monetary policy shocks in countries that are more intensive in services intermediates. We rationalize these facts using a two-sector New Keynesian model where trends in sectoral productivities generate endogenous variations in the Input–Output matrix. Services deepening reduces the contemporaneous response of inflation to monetary policy shocks through a marginal cost channel. Since services prices are stickier than manufacturing prices, the rise of services intermediates raises the sluggishness of sectoral marginal costs and inflation rates.


2020 ◽  
Vol 179 ◽  
pp. 279-298
Author(s):  
Thiago Christiano Silva ◽  
Solange Maria Guerra ◽  
Michel Alexandre da Silva ◽  
Benjamin Miranda Tabak

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document