Role of Energy Use in the Prediction of Co2 Emissions and Growth in India: An Application of Artificial Neural Networks (ANN)

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ashin Nishan M. K. ◽  
Muhammed Ashiq V
Author(s):  
V. V. Nefedev

For the definition and implementation of breakthrough technologies the most important is the role of scientific and technical forecasting. Well-known forecasting methods based on extrapolation, expert assessments and mathematical modeling are not universal and have a number of significant disadvantages. The article proposes an original method of scientific and technical forecasting based on the use of the methodology of artificial neural networks. 


Author(s):  
Sankhanil Goswami

Abstract Modern buildings account for a significant proportion of global energy consumption worldwide. Therefore, accurate energy use forecast is necessary for energy management and conservation. With the advent of smart sensors, a large amount of accurate energy data is available. Also, with the advancements in data analytics and machine learning, there have been numerous studies on developing data-driven prediction models based on Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs). In this work a type of ANN called Large Short-Term Memory (LSTM) is used to predict the energy use and cooling load of an existing building. A university administrative building was chosen for its typical commercial environment. The network was trained with one year of data and was used to predict the energy consumption and cooling load of the following year. The mean absolute testing error for the energy consumption and the cooling load were 0.105 and 0.05. The percentage mean accuracy was found to be 92.8% and 96.1%. The process was applied to several other buildings in the university and similar results were obtained. This indicates the model can successfully predict the energy consumption and cooling load for the buildings studied. The further improvement and application of this technique for optimizing building performance are also explored.


2017 ◽  
Vol 177 (1) ◽  
pp. 73-83 ◽  
Author(s):  
Valentina Morelli ◽  
Serena Palmieri ◽  
Andrea Lania ◽  
Alberto Tresoldi ◽  
Sabrina Corbetta ◽  
...  

Background The independent role of mild autonomous cortisol secretion (ACS) in influencing the cardiovascular event (CVE) occurrence is a topic of interest. We investigated the role of mild ACS in the CVE occurrence in patients with adrenal incidentaloma (AI) by standard statistics and artificial neural networks (ANNs). Methods We analyzed a retrospective record of 518 AI patients. Data regarding cortisol levels after 1 mg dexamethasone suppression (1 mg DST) and the presence of obesity (OB), hypertension (AH), type-2 diabetes (T2DM), dyslipidemia (DL), familial CVE history, smoking habit and CVE were collected. Results The receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis suggested that 1 mg DST, at a cut-off of 1.8 µg/dL, had the best accuracy for detecting patients with increased CVE risk. In patients with 1 mg-DST ≥1.8 µg/dL (DST+, n = 223), age and prevalence of AH, T2DM, DL and CVE (66 years, 74.5, 25.9, 41.4 and 26.8% respectively) were higher than that of patients with 1 mg-DST ≤1.8 µg/dL (61.9 years, 60.7, 18.5, 32.9 and 10%, respectively, P < 0.05 for all). The CVE were associated with DST+ (OR: 2.46, 95% CI: 1.5–4.1, P = 0.01), regardless of T2DM, AH, DL, smoking habit, gender, observation period and age. The presence of at least two among AH, T2DM, DL and OB plus DST+ had 61.1% sensitivity in detecting patients with CVE. By using the variables selected by ANNs (familial CVE history, age, T2DM, AH, DL and DST+) 78.7% sensitivity was reached. Conclusions Cortisol after 1 mg-DST is independently associated with the CVE occurrence. The ANNs might help for assessing the CVE risk in AI patients.


2016 ◽  
Vol 7 ◽  
pp. BECB.S31601 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abraham Pouliakis ◽  
Efrossyni Karakitsou ◽  
Niki Margari ◽  
Panagiotis Bountris ◽  
Maria Haritou ◽  
...  

Objective This study aims to analyze the role of artificial neural networks (ANNs) in cytopathology. More specifically, it aims to highlight the importance of employing ANNs in existing and future applications and in identifying unexplored or poorly explored research topics. Study Design A systematic search was conducted in scientific databases for articles related to cytopathology and ANNs with respect to anatomical places of the human body where cytopathology is performed. For each anatomic system/organ, the major outcomes described in the scientific literature are presented and the most important aspects are highlighted. Results The vast majority of ANN applications are related to cervical cytopathology, specifically for the ANN-based, semiautomated commercial diagnostic system PAPNET. For cervical cytopathology, there is a plethora of studies relevant to the diagnostic accuracy; in addition, there are also efforts evaluating cost-effectiveness and applications on primary, secondary, or hybrid screening. For the rest of the anatomical sites, such as the gastrointestinal system, thyroid gland, urinary tract, and breast, there are significantly less efforts relevant to the application of ANNs. Additionally, there are still anatomical systems for which ANNs have never been applied on their cytological material. Conclusions Cytopathology is an ideal discipline to apply ANNs. In general, diagnosis is performed by experts via the light microscope. However, this approach introduces subjectivity, because this is not a universal and objective measurement process. This has resulted in the existence of a gray zone between normal and pathological cases. From the analysis of related articles, it is obvious that there is a need to perform more thorough analyses, using extensive number of cases and particularly for the nonexplored organs. Efforts to apply such systems within the laboratory test environment are required for their future uptake.


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