scholarly journals HARGA OPSI CALL TIPE EROPA MENGGUNAKAN SIMULASI MONTE CARLO STANDAR DAN TEKNIK ANTITHETIC VARIATES

Author(s):  
Anisah Mardiah Qur’ani ◽  
Irwan Kasse ◽  
Ilham Syata
2015 ◽  
Vol 47 (03) ◽  
pp. 817-836 ◽  
Author(s):  
Huei-Wen Teng ◽  
Ming-Hsuan Kang ◽  
Cheng-Der Fuh

The calculation of multivariate normal probabilities is of great importance in many statistical and economic applications. In this paper we propose a spherical Monte Carlo method with both theoretical analysis and numerical simulation. We start by writing the multivariate normal probability via an inner radial integral and an outer spherical integral using the spherical transformation. For the outer spherical integral, we apply an integration rule by randomly rotating a predetermined set of well-located points. To find the desired set, we derive an upper bound for the variance of the Monte Carlo estimator and propose a set which is related to the kissing number problem in sphere packings. For the inner radial integral, we employ the idea of antithetic variates and identify certain conditions so that variance reduction is guaranteed. Extensive Monte Carlo simulations on some probabilities confirm these claims.


Author(s):  
J. M. Hammersley ◽  
J. G. Mauldon

1. In (2) the idea of antithetic variates in Monte Carlo work is introduced and applied to the estimation of integrals. The present paper studies the general theoretical structure of antithetic variates. We have made only limited progress and present various unsolved problems as a challenge to the reader.


2015 ◽  
Vol 47 (3) ◽  
pp. 817-836 ◽  
Author(s):  
Huei-Wen Teng ◽  
Ming-Hsuan Kang ◽  
Cheng-Der Fuh

The calculation of multivariate normal probabilities is of great importance in many statistical and economic applications. In this paper we propose a spherical Monte Carlo method with both theoretical analysis and numerical simulation. We start by writing the multivariate normal probability via an inner radial integral and an outer spherical integral using the spherical transformation. For the outer spherical integral, we apply an integration rule by randomly rotating a predetermined set of well-located points. To find the desired set, we derive an upper bound for the variance of the Monte Carlo estimator and propose a set which is related to the kissing number problem in sphere packings. For the inner radial integral, we employ the idea of antithetic variates and identify certain conditions so that variance reduction is guaranteed. Extensive Monte Carlo simulations on some probabilities confirm these claims.


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