scholarly journals Justification of Wold’s Theorem and the Unbiasedness of a Stable Vector Autoregressive Time Series Model Forecasts

2017 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Iberedem A. Iwok

In this work, the multivariate analogue to the univariate Wold’s theorem for a purely non-deterministic stable vector time series process was presented and justified using the method of undetermined coefficients. By this method, a finite vector autoregressive process of order  [] was represented as an infinite vector moving average () process which was found to be the same as the Wold’s representation. Thus, obtaining the properties of a  process is equivalent to obtaining the properties of an infinite  process. The proof of the unbiasedness of forecasts followed immediately based on the fact that a stable VAR process can be represented as an infinite VEMA process.

1985 ◽  
Vol 17 (04) ◽  
pp. 810-840 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jürgen Franke

The maximum-entropy approach to the estimation of the spectral density of a time series has become quite popular during the last decade. It is closely related to the fact that an autoregressive process of order p has maximal entropy among all time series sharing the same autocovariances up to lag p. We give a natural generalization of this result by proving that a mixed autoregressive-moving-average process (ARMA process) of order (p, q) has maximal entropy among all time series sharing the same autocovariances up to lag p and the same impulse response coefficients up to lag q. The latter may be estimated from a finite record of the time series, for example by using a method proposed by Bhansali (1976). By the way, we give a result on the existence of ARMA processes with prescribed autocovariances up to lag p and impulse response coefficients up to lag q.


1974 ◽  
Vol 11 (01) ◽  
pp. 63-71 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. F. Galbraith ◽  
J. I. Galbraith

Expressions are obtained for the determinant and inverse of the covariance matrix of a set of n consecutive observations on a mixed autoregressive moving average process. Explicit formulae for the inverse of this matrix are given for the general autoregressive process of order p (n ≧ p), and for the first order mixed autoregressive moving average process.


2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kaizhi Yu ◽  
Hong Zou

A new stationaryqth-order integer-valued moving average process with Poisson innovation is introduced based on decision random vector. Some statistical properties of the process are established. Estimators of the parameters of the process are obtained using the method of moments. Some numerical results of the estimators are presented to assess the performance of moment estimators.


1974 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 63-71 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. F. Galbraith ◽  
J. I. Galbraith

Expressions are obtained for the determinant and inverse of the covariance matrix of a set of n consecutive observations on a mixed autoregressive moving average process. Explicit formulae for the inverse of this matrix are given for the general autoregressive process of order p (n ≧ p), and for the first order mixed autoregressive moving average process.


1985 ◽  
Vol 17 (4) ◽  
pp. 810-840 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jürgen Franke

The maximum-entropy approach to the estimation of the spectral density of a time series has become quite popular during the last decade. It is closely related to the fact that an autoregressive process of order p has maximal entropy among all time series sharing the same autocovariances up to lag p. We give a natural generalization of this result by proving that a mixed autoregressive-moving-average process (ARMA process) of order (p, q) has maximal entropy among all time series sharing the same autocovariances up to lag p and the same impulse response coefficients up to lag q. The latter may be estimated from a finite record of the time series, for example by using a method proposed by Bhansali (1976). By the way, we give a result on the existence of ARMA processes with prescribed autocovariances up to lag p and impulse response coefficients up to lag q.


1988 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 77-85 ◽  
Author(s):  
Helmut Lütkepohl

The coefficients of the moving average (MA) representation of a vector autoregressive (VAR) process are the dynamic multipliers of the system. These quantities are often used to analyze the relationships between the variables involved. Assuming that the actual data generation process is stationary and has a VAR representation of unknown and possibly infinite order, the asymptotic distribution of the MA coefficients is derived. A computationally simple formula for the asymptotic co variance matrix is obtained.


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