Poisson Regression Models for Count Data: Use in the Number of Deaths in the Santo Angelo (Brazil)

Author(s):  
Russo
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (11) ◽  
pp. 4177-4190
Author(s):  
Osval Antonio Montesinos-López ◽  
José Cricelio Montesinos-López ◽  
Pawan Singh ◽  
Nerida Lozano-Ramirez ◽  
Alberto Barrón-López ◽  
...  

The paradigm called genomic selection (GS) is a revolutionary way of developing new plants and animals. This is a predictive methodology, since it uses learning methods to perform its task. Unfortunately, there is no universal model that can be used for all types of predictions; for this reason, specific methodologies are required for each type of output (response variables). Since there is a lack of efficient methodologies for multivariate count data outcomes, in this paper, a multivariate Poisson deep neural network (MPDN) model is proposed for the genomic prediction of various count outcomes simultaneously. The MPDN model uses the minus log-likelihood of a Poisson distribution as a loss function, in hidden layers for capturing nonlinear patterns using the rectified linear unit (RELU) activation function and, in the output layer, the exponential activation function was used for producing outputs on the same scale of counts. The proposed MPDN model was compared to conventional generalized Poisson regression models and univariate Poisson deep learning models in two experimental data sets of count data. We found that the proposed MPDL outperformed univariate Poisson deep neural network models, but did not outperform, in terms of prediction, the univariate generalized Poisson regression models. All deep learning models were implemented in Tensorflow as back-end and Keras as front-end, which allows implementing these models on moderate and large data sets, which is a significant advantage over previous GS models for multivariate count data.


Author(s):  
Lili Puspita Rahayu ◽  
Kusman Sadik ◽  
Indahwati Indahwati

Poisson distribution is one of discrete distribution that is often used in modeling of rare events. The data obtained in form of counts with non-negative integers. One of analysis that is used in modeling count data is Poisson regression. Deviation of assumption that often occurs in the Poisson regression is overdispersion. Cause of overdispersion is an excess zero probability on the response variable. Solving model that be used to overcome of overdispersion is zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP) regression. The research aimed to develop a study of overdispersion for Poisson and ZIP regression on some characteristics of the data. Overdispersion on some characteristics of the data that were studied in this research are simulated by combining the parameter of Poisson distribution (λ), zero probability (p), and sample size (n) on the response variable then comparing the Poisson and ZIP regression models. Overdispersion study on data simulation showed that the larger λ, n, and p, the better is the model of ZIP than Poisson regression. The results of this simulation are also strengthened by the exploration of Pearson residual in Poisson and ZIP regression.


2013 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 23
Author(s):  
LUH KOMANG MARDIANI ◽  
KOMANG GDE SUKARSA ◽  
I GUSTI AYU MADE SRINADI

The Poisson regression analysis is one of the regression methods used for count data and has the assumption of equidispersion. However, it is the overdispersion and then underestimate standard errors will be obtained. If the data are overdispersed and more data is zero then ZIP (Zero Inflated Regression) regression is used. ZIP regression model is more appropriate to be used to analyze the amount of Senior High School/Madrasah Aliyah who do not pass the exam with five independent variables, because a lot of data failure is zero. In this paper, data are overdispersed on Poisson regression, so ZIP regression are used. ZIP regression models obtained are only influenced by the proportion of Senior High School/Madrasah Aliyah classroom were damaged (X3), is and .


Author(s):  
Dafina Petrova ◽  
Marina Pollán ◽  
Miguel Rodriguez-Barranco ◽  
Dunia Garrido ◽  
Josep M. Borrás ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The patient interval—the time patients wait before consulting their physician after noticing cancer symptoms—contributes to diagnostic delays. We compared anticipated help-seeking times for cancer symptoms and perceived barriers to help-seeking before and after the coronavirus pandemic. Methods Two waves (pre-Coronavirus: February 2020, N = 3269; and post-Coronavirus: August 2020, N = 1500) of the Spanish Onco-barometer population survey were compared. The international ABC instrument was administered. Pre–post comparisons were performed using multiple logistic and Poisson regression models. Results There was a consistent and significant increase in anticipated times to help-seeking for 12 of 13 cancer symptoms, with the largest increases for breast changes (OR = 1.54, 95% CI 1.22–1–96) and unexplained bleeding (OR = 1.50, 1.26–1.79). Respondents were more likely to report barriers to help-seeking in the post wave, most notably worry about what the doctor may find (OR = 1.58, 1.35–1.84) and worry about wasting the doctor’s time (OR = 1.48, 1.25–1.74). Women and older individuals were the most affected. Conclusions Participants reported longer waiting times to help-seeking for cancer symptoms after the pandemic. There is an urgent need for public interventions encouraging people to consult their physicians with symptoms suggestive of cancer and counteracting the main barriers perceived during the pandemic situation.


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