Spatial Microsimulation Models

2010 ◽  
pp. 159-195 ◽  
Author(s):  
Einar Holm ◽  
Lena Sanders
2021 ◽  
pp. 3-24
Author(s):  
Cathal O'Donoghue

This chapter serves as an introduction to the book Practical Microsimulation Modelling. It provides as context a description of microsimulation modelling, a simulation-based tool with a micro-unit of analysis that can be used for ex-ante analysis. The methodology is motivated as a mechanism of abstracting from reality to help us understand complexity better. It describes the main analytical objectives of users of microsimulation models in the field of income distribution analysis. The chapter then describes in turn the main methods of microsimulation considered in the book: hypothetical models, static models, behavioural models (labour supply and consumption), environmental models, decomposing inequality, dynamic microsimulation models, and spatial microsimulation models. The chapter concludes by providing an outline of the book.


2021 ◽  
pp. 239-266
Author(s):  
Cathal O'Donoghue

There has been a growing emphasis on the spatial targeting of policy options in the areas of poverty and social exclusion. In this chapter, the focus will be on using spatial microsimulation models to look at the local impact of policies related to inequality and poverty. Spatial data typically exist in national census datasets, but very frequently these data do not contain information on incomes. The challenge, therefore, is to generate datasets that are spatially consistent, in order to facilitate the linkage of spatially defined data, such as local-area census data, with nationally representative surveys that contain labour, demographic, and income information. Spatial microsimulation modelling helps with this. The purpose of this chapter is to provide an insight into the rationale, development, and application of the spatial microsimulation method for analysing the spatial distribution of inequality. The policy context for spatial-inequality analysis is discussed initially, before considering the statistical method for synthetically generating spatially consistent, household-income-distribution data. Approaches to validating these methods are then discussed, before applying quantitative methods to measuring spatial inequality in a national setting.


10.1068/a4147 ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 41 (5) ◽  
pp. 1251-1268 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dianna M Smith ◽  
Graham P Clarke ◽  
Kirk Harland

Simulation models are increasingly used in applied research to create synthetic micro-populations and predict possible individual-level outcomes of policy intervention. Previous research highlights the relevance of simulation techniques in estimating the potential outcomes of changes in areas such as taxation and child benefit policy, crime, education, or health inequalities. To date, however, there is very little published research on the creation, calibration, and testing of such micro-populations and models, and little on the issue of how well synthetic data can fit locally as opposed to globally in such models. This paper discusses the process of improving the process of synthetic micropopulation generation with the aim of improving and extending existing spatial microsimulation models. Experiments using different variable configurations to constrain the models are undertaken with the emphasis on producing a suite of models to match the different sociodemographic conditions found within a typical city. The results show that creating processes to generate area-specific synthetic populations, which reflect the diverse populations within the study area, provides more accurate population estimates for future policy work than the traditional global model configurations.


Author(s):  
Eusebio Odiari ◽  
Mark Birkin ◽  
Susan Grant-Muller ◽  
Nick Malleson

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