Risk Assessment/Violence Prediction, Juvenile Offenders

2015 ◽  
pp. 1-6
Author(s):  
Katrina Witt ◽  
Rachael Perrault ◽  
Jay P. Singh
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Juvenile Offenders ◽  
Violence Prediction

scholarly journals Gender and Risk Assessment in Juvenile Offenders: A Meta-Analysis

2017 ◽  
Vol 45 (1) ◽  
pp. 56-81 ◽  
Author(s):  
Natasha Pusch ◽  
Kristy Holtfreter
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Juvenile Offenders ◽  
Meta Analysis

scholarly journals Risk Assessment in Juvenile and Young Adult Offenders: Predictive Validity of the SAVRY and SAPROF-YV

Assessment ◽  
2020 ◽  
pp. 107319112095974
Author(s):  
Anneke T. H. Kleeven ◽  
Michiel de Vries Robbé ◽  
Eva A. Mulder ◽  
Arne Popma
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Young Adult ◽  
Juvenile Offenders ◽  
Protective Factors ◽  
Predictive Validity ◽  
Developmental Differences ◽  
Assessment Tools ◽  
Violence Risk ◽  
Risk Assessment Tools ◽  
Dutch Sample

Most juvenile risk assessment tools heavily rely on a risk-focused approach. Less attention has been devoted to protective factors. This study examines the predictive validity of protective factors in addition to risk factors, and developmental differences in psychometric properties of juvenile risk assessment. For a national Dutch sample of 354 juvenile and young adult offenders (16-26 years) risk and protective factors were retrospectively assessed at discharge from seven juvenile justice institutions, using the Structured Assessment of Violence Risk in Youth (SAVRY) and Structured Assessment of Protective Factors for violence risk – Youth Version (SAPROF-YV). Results show moderate validity for both tools predicting general, violent, and nonviolent offending at different follow-up times. The SAPROF-YV provided incremental predictive validity over the SAVRY, and predictive validity was stronger for younger offenders. Evidently both the SAVRY and SAPROF-YV seem valid tools for the assessment of recidivism risk in juvenile and young adult offenders. Results highlight the importance of protective factors, especially in juvenile offenders, emphasizing the need for a balanced risk assessment.

Predictive Validity of the Joint Risk Matrix With Juvenile Offenders

2007 ◽  
Vol 34 (3) ◽  
pp. 348-361 ◽  
Author(s):  
Craig S. Schwalbe ◽  
Mark W. Fraser ◽  
Steven H. Day
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Juvenile Offenders ◽  
Juvenile Justice ◽  
Predictive Validity ◽  
Juvenile Justice System ◽  
Assessment Instruments ◽  
Risk Matrix ◽  
Race Ethnicity ◽  
Actuarial Risk ◽  
Gender Based

Actuarial risk assessment instruments promise to increase decision-making accuracy and equity in settings such as the juvenile justice system, but both aims presume high levels of predictive validity. Prior research suggests that the predictive validity of some juvenile justice risk assessment instruments differs across gender and race/ethnicity. The Joint Risk Matrix (JRM) described herein is an instrument developed to increase the predictive validity of risk assessment for the diverse populations served by the nation’s juvenile courts. The predictive validity of the JRM was estimated on a sample of 536 court-involved juveniles. The instrument demonstrated acceptable levels of validity across all juveniles (AUC = .710). Gender-based differences were explained by gendered patterns of referral to out-of-home placements. Differences by race/ethnicity were reduced compared with previous reports. The findings suggest that risk assessment can be improved by including measures related to the behavior and demeanor of offenders and the cooperation of their parents or caretakers.

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