scholarly journals Coordinated development of agricultural water resources and the socio‐economy in Shanxi province considering uncertainty *

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gaiqiang Yang ◽  
Lirui Ding ◽  
Lijuan Huo ◽  
Yuxian Hu
Author(s):  
Lijuan Huo ◽  
Lirui Ding ◽  
Gaiqiang Yang

Conflict between agricultural water resources and socio-economy development is a global problem. Accurate evaluation of coordinated development of agricultural water resources and socio-economy and risk mitigation is necessary for sustainable development. An evaluation method, including selection of criteria, data collection, determination of weight, evaluation of coordinated development, prediction of parameters, and judgment of coordinated development state, has been proposed to study coordinated development degree. To deal with uncertainties, Monte Carlo method and fuzzy set method were used. The method is demonstrated to solve a real-world evaluation problem in Shanxi Province in the middle of China. Results show that coordinated development degrees were (0.7, 0.8) for most of the cities of Shanxi in 2015, indicating that coordinate development state was intermediate coordinate. To achieve balanced development, more attention should be put on socio-economic development in Taiyuan and Yanquan, and agricultural water resources utilization in Jinzhong, Yuncheng and Xinzhou. The average coordinated development degree is 0.758, and coordinate development state was intermediate coordinate from 2006 to 2015. Coordinated development degree has a trend of decreasing markedly, coordinate development state will be barely coordinated, and agricultural water resources utilization lags behind socio-economic development in 2020. The study demonstrates the practicability of the improved method, by evaluating coordinated development degree under uncertainty and forecasting future risks, which will conduce to promote sustainable development of agricultural water resources and socio-economy.


2019 ◽  
Vol 118 ◽  
pp. 04001
Author(s):  
Guang Zhao ◽  
Yanfen Dou

The conservation and utilization of agricultural water resources plays an important role in promoting the green transformation of agriculture. In this background, this paper systematically describes the current situation of agricultural water resources conservation and utilization in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region. At the same time, this paper points out that the agricultural water resource conservation and utilization in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region are confronted with such problems as the low degree of popularization and application of water-saving technology, the need to improve the depth and breadth of regional coordinated development, the unsound management mechanism, the insufficient capital investment and the imperfect talent support system. In view of the above problems, this paper puts forward countermeasures and suggestions to promote the conservation and utilization of agricultural water resources in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region, so as to better promote the agricultural green transformation and development in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region.


2013 ◽  
Vol 438-439 ◽  
pp. 1441-1445
Author(s):  
Xiao Fei Liu ◽  
Jian Xin Xu ◽  
Jing Sheng Sun ◽  
Liang Jun Fei ◽  
Ji Yang Zhang ◽  
...  

With the growth of population, shortage of water resources, natural disasters, climate change, serious shortage of land resources and the development of urbanization and industrialization and impacts of other unfavorable factors, China's grain security issue has become a focus of public concern. Through the Chinese population quantity analysis and forecast of 2020 and 2030 the total demand of grain, comparison between total demand and current level of food production, China's grain problem is facing tremendous pressure. Water conservancy is the lifeline of agriculture and irrigation has great potential for grain production guarantee. Results for food safety in China made the following responses: First, the rational use of water resources, improve the efficiency of irrigation and grain yield per unit area. Second, multiple sectors such as agriculture, meteorology, soil, make a good combination of multiple disciplines for food security. Third, increase the peasants' production enthusiasm. Last, scientific and technological progress is the guarantee of grain production. In General, the issue of food security is national security, social stability, a top priority. The combination of our country's water resources crisis, limited rational development of agricultural water resources, improve the efficiency of irrigation, which will provide a guarantee for China agricultural water crisis, alleviating the shortage of water resources and increasing food safety assurance.


2007 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 11-16 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bu-chun LIU ◽  
Xu-rong MEI ◽  
Yu-zhong LI ◽  
You-lu YANG

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