Measuring Trend Inflation and Inflation Persistence for India

2016 ◽  
pp. 335-356
Author(s):  
Vipul Bhatt ◽  
N. Kundan Kishor
Keyword(s):  
Inflation Persistence ◽  
Trend Inflation

Trend Inflation, Indexation, and Inflation Persistence in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve

2008 ◽  
Vol 98 (5) ◽  
pp. 2101-2126 ◽  
Author(s):  
Timothy Cogley ◽  
Argia M Sbordone
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Ad Hoc ◽  
Phillips Curve ◽  
New Keynesian ◽  
Time Varying ◽  
New Keynesian Phillips Curve ◽  
Inflation Persistence ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Trend Inflation ◽  
Forward Looking

Purely forward-looking versions of the New Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) generate too little inflation persistence. Some authors add ad hoc backward-looking terms to address this shortcoming. We hypothesize that inflation persistence results mainly from variation in the long-run trend component of inflation, which we attribute to shifts in monetary policy. We derive a version of the NKPC that incorporates a time-varying inflation trend and examine whether it explains the dynamics of inflation. When drift in trend inflation is taken into account, a purely forward-looking version of the model fits the data well, and there is no need for backward-looking components. (JEL E12, E31, E52)

Variable Elasticity Demand and Inflation Persistence

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Takushi Kurozumi ◽  
Willem Van Zandweghe
Keyword(s):  
Inflation Persistence

scholarly journals U.S. TREND INFLATION REINTERPRETED: THE ROLE OF FISCAL POLICIES AND TIME-VARYING NOMINAL RIGIDITIES

2014 ◽  
Vol 19 (6) ◽  
pp. 1294-1308 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicola Acocella ◽  
Giovanni Di Bartolomeo ◽  
Patrizio Tirelli
Keyword(s):  
Strong Impact ◽  
Fiscal Policies ◽  
Time Varying ◽  
Nominal Rigidities ◽  
Distortionary Taxation ◽  
Trend Inflation ◽  
Wage Indexation ◽  
Joint Evolution

This paper offers a reinterpretation of the Fed's time-varying implicit inflation target, based on two considerations. The first is that the need to alleviate the burden of distortionary taxation may justify the choice of a positive inflation rate. The second is based on compelling evidence that the degree of price and wage indexation falls with trend inflation. In fact, we find that a proper characterization of the joint evolution of fiscal variables and nominal rigidities has a strong impact on the Ramsey optimal policies, implying optimal inflation dynamics that are consistent with the observed evolution of U.S. trend inflation. By contrast, tax policies have been too lax, especially at the time of the controversial Bush tax cuts.

scholarly journals Public debt, discretionary policy, and inflation persistence

2013 ◽  
Vol 37 (6) ◽  
pp. 1097-1109 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefan Niemann ◽  
Paul Pichler ◽  
Gerhard Sorger
Keyword(s):  
Public Debt ◽  
Inflation Persistence
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