Martingales, amarts and related stopping time techniques

Author(s):  
A. Bellow
Keyword(s):  
1986 ◽  
Vol 23 (04) ◽  
pp. 1019-1024
Author(s):  
Walter Van Assche

The limit of a product of independent 2 × 2 stochastic matrices is given when the entries of the first column are independent and have the same symmetric beta distribution. The rate of convergence is considered by introducing a stopping time for which asymptotics are given.


2020 ◽  
Vol 81 (7) ◽  
pp. 1192-1210
Author(s):  
O.V. Zverev ◽  
V.M. Khametov ◽  
E.A. Shelemekh

Author(s):  
Kelvin Cheung ◽  
Guopeng Li ◽  
Tadahiro Oh

AbstractIn this paper, we present a globalization argument for stochastic nonlinear dispersive PDEs with additive noises by adapting the I-method (= the method of almost conservation laws) to the stochastic setting. As a model example, we consider the defocusing stochastic cubic nonlinear Schrödinger equation (SNLS) on $${\mathbb {R}}^3$$ R 3 with additive stochastic forcing, white in time and correlated in space, such that the noise lies below the energy space. By combining the I-method with Ito’s lemma and a stopping time argument, we construct global-in-time dynamics for SNLS below the energy space.


2008 ◽  
Vol 45 (04) ◽  
pp. 1039-1059 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marius Costeniuc ◽  
Michaela Schnetzer ◽  
Luca Taschini

We study investment and disinvestment decisions in situations where there is a time lagd> 0 from the timetwhen the decision is taken to the timet+dwhen the decision is implemented. In this paper we apply the probabilistic approach to the combined entry and exit decisions under the Parisian implementation delay. In particular, we prove the independence between Parisian stopping times and a general Brownian motion with drift stopped at the stopping time. Relying on this result, we solve the constrained maximization problem, obtaining an analytic solution to the optimal ‘starting’ and ‘stopping’ levels. We compare our results with the instantaneous entry and exit situation, and show that an increase in the uncertainty of the underlying process hastens the decision to invest or disinvest, extending a result of Bar-Ilan and Strange (1996).


1997 ◽  
Vol 34 (1) ◽  
pp. 66-73 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. E. Graversen ◽  
G. Peškir

The solution is presented to all optimal stopping problems of the form supτE(G(|Β τ |) – cτ), where is standard Brownian motion and the supremum is taken over all stopping times τ for B with finite expectation, while the map G : ℝ+ → ℝ satisfies for some being given and fixed. The optimal stopping time is shown to be the hitting time by the reflecting Brownian motion of the set of all (approximate) maximum points of the map . The method of proof relies upon Wald's identity for Brownian motion and simple real analysis arguments. A simple proof of the Dubins–Jacka–Schwarz–Shepp–Shiryaev (square root of two) maximal inequality for randomly stopped Brownian motion is given as an application.


1999 ◽  
Vol 36 (01) ◽  
pp. 48-59 ◽  
Author(s):  
George V. Moustakides

Let ξ0,ξ1,ξ2,… be a homogeneous Markov process and let S n denote the partial sum S n = θ(ξ1) + … + θ(ξ n ), where θ(ξ) is a scalar nonlinearity. If N is a stopping time with 𝔼N < ∞ and the Markov process satisfies certain ergodicity properties, we then show that 𝔼S N = [lim n→∞𝔼θ(ξ n )]𝔼N + 𝔼ω(ξ0) − 𝔼ω(ξ N ). The function ω(ξ) is a well defined scalar nonlinearity directly related to θ(ξ) through a Poisson integral equation, with the characteristic that ω(ξ) becomes zero in the i.i.d. case. Consequently our result constitutes an extension to Wald's first lemma for the case of Markov processes. We also show that, when 𝔼N → ∞, the correction term is negligible as compared to 𝔼N in the sense that 𝔼ω(ξ0) − 𝔼ω(ξ N ) = o(𝔼N).


2002 ◽  
Vol 102 (1) ◽  
pp. 97-107 ◽  
Author(s):  
R.R. Huilgol ◽  
B. Mena ◽  
J.M. Piau

Author(s):  
José Correa ◽  
Paul Dütting ◽  
Felix Fischer ◽  
Kevin Schewior

A central object of study in optimal stopping theory is the single-choice prophet inequality for independent and identically distributed random variables: given a sequence of random variables [Formula: see text] drawn independently from the same distribution, the goal is to choose a stopping time τ such that for the maximum value of α and for all distributions, [Formula: see text]. What makes this problem challenging is that the decision whether [Formula: see text] may only depend on the values of the random variables [Formula: see text] and on the distribution F. For a long time, the best known bound for the problem had been [Formula: see text], but recently a tight bound of [Formula: see text] was obtained. The case where F is unknown, such that the decision whether [Formula: see text] may depend only on the values of the random variables [Formula: see text], is equally well motivated but has received much less attention. A straightforward guarantee for this case of [Formula: see text] can be derived from the well-known optimal solution to the secretary problem, where an arbitrary set of values arrive in random order and the goal is to maximize the probability of selecting the largest value. We show that this bound is in fact tight. We then investigate the case where the stopping time may additionally depend on a limited number of samples from F, and we show that, even with o(n) samples, [Formula: see text]. On the other hand, n samples allow for a significant improvement, whereas [Formula: see text] samples are equivalent to knowledge of the distribution: specifically, with n samples, [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text], and with [Formula: see text] samples, [Formula: see text] for any [Formula: see text].


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