Abstract
Funding Acknowledgements
Type of funding sources: None.
OnBehalf
Portuguese Registry of Acute Coronary Syndromes
Background
Acute coronary syndromes (ACS) are common and several scores were proposed to identify high-risk patients that presented worse prognosis in short and long-term follow up. CHA2DS2-VASc score is the score used to decide the initiation of anticoagulation therapy in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients. It is an easy and convenient score, used by physicians in clinical practice, which is helpful to apply in ACS predicting the high-risk patients.
Objective
CHA2DS2-VASc score as a prognosis method in ACS.
Methods
Multicenter retrospective study, based on the Portuguese Registry of ACS between 1/10/2010-4/09/2019. CHA2DS2-VASc test as a predictor of AF with a receiver operating characteristic curve. Logistic regression to access if the score was a predictor of AF. According with a punctuation of CHA2DS2-VASc as 0, 1 and ≥2, was performed a Kaplan-Meier test to establish the survival rates and cardiovascular admission at one year of follow-up.
Results
25271 patients had ACS, 1023 patients (4.2%) presented de novo AF. CHA2DS2-VASc score was a median predictor of de novo AF (Area Under Curve: 0.642, confidence interval (CI) 0.625-0.659), with a 66.7% sensibility and 55.1% specificity. Logistic regression revealed that the CHA2DS2-VASc score was a predictor of de novo AF in ACS (odds ratio (OR) 2.07, p < 0.001, CI 1.74-2.47). Mortality rates at one year of follow-up, even showing higher mortality rates associated with higher CHA2DS2-VASc punctuation, do not revealed to be significant, p = 0.099. On the other hand, the score exhibited a significant value, p = 0.050, for re-admission for all causes, according to the classification as 0, 1 or ≥2. Regarding re-admission for cardiovascular causes at one year of follow-up was associated with the score classification, with a Kaplan-Meier test of p = 0.011.
Conclusions
CHA2DS2-VASc score was a predictor of de novo AF in ACS and can be used as a prognostic method for all causes of re-admission and, in special, for cardiovascular cause of re-admission.
Prediction of One-Year Survival in High-Risk Patients with Acute Coronary Syndromes: Results from the SYNERGY Trial
