Volatile opinions and optimal control of vaccine awareness campaigns: chaotic behaviour of the forward-backward sweep algorithm vs. heuristic direct optimization

Author(s):  
Rossella Della Marca ◽  
Alberto d’Onofrio
Mathematics ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (10) ◽  
pp. 971
Author(s):  
Mlyashimbi Helikumi ◽  
Moatlhodi Kgosimore ◽  
Dmitry Kuznetsov ◽  
Steady Mushayabasa

In this paper, a mathematical model for the transmission dynamics of Trypanosoma brucei rhodesiense that incorporates three species—namely, human, animal and vector—is formulated and analyzed. Two controls representing awareness campaigns and insecticide use are investigated in order to minimize the number of infected hosts in the population and the cost of implementation. Qualitative analysis of the model showed that it exhibited backward bifurcation generated by awareness campaigns. From the optimal control analysis we observed that optimal awareness and insecticide use could lead to effective control of the disease even when they were implemented at low intensities. In addition, it was noted that insecticide control had a greater impact on minimizing the spread of the disease compared to awareness campaigns.


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (06) ◽  
pp. 2050047
Author(s):  
Fahad Al Basir

Farming awareness is an important measure for pest controlling in agricultural practice. Time delay in controlling pest may affect the system. Time delay occurs in organizing awareness campaigns, also time delay may takes place in becoming aware of the control strategies or implementing suitable controlling methods informed through social media. Thus we have derived a mathematical model incorporating two time delays into the system and Holling type-II functional response. The existence and the stability criteria of the equilibria are obtained in terms of the basic reproduction number and time delays. Stability changes occur through Hopf-bifurcation when time delays cross the critical values. Optimal control theory has been applied for cost-effectiveness of the delayed system. Numerical simulations are carried out to justify the analytical results. This study shows that optimal farming awareness through radio, TV etc. can control the delay induced bifurcation in a cost-effective way.


Author(s):  
H. W. J. Lee ◽  
K. L. Teo ◽  
L. S. Jennings

AbstractHow to obtain a workable initial guess to start an optimal control (control parametrization) algorithm is an important question. In particular, for a system of multi-link vertical planar robot arms moving under the effect of gravity and applied torques (which can exhibit chaotic behaviour), a non-workable initial guess of torques may cause integration failure regardless of what numerical packages are used. In this paper, we address this problem by introducing a simple and intuitive “Blind Man” algorithm. Theoretical justification as well as a numerical example is provided.


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