scholarly journals Spatio-temporal dynamics of ecological security pattern of the Pearl River Delta urban agglomeration based on LUCC simulation

2020 ◽  
Vol 114 ◽  
pp. 106319 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhao-Tian Li ◽  
Miao Li ◽  
Bei-Cheng Xia
Author(s):  
Gizem Mestav Sarica ◽  
Tinger Zhu ◽  
Wei Jian ◽  
Edmond Yat-Man Lo ◽  
Tso-Chien Pan

The Pearl River Delta metropolitan region is one of the most densely urbanized megapolises worldwide with high exposure to weather-related disasters such as storms, storm surges and river floods. Shenzhen megacity has been the fastest growing city in the Pearl River Delta region with a significant increase of resident population from 0.32 million in 1980 to 13.03 million in 2018. Being a flood-prone city, Shenzhen’s rapid urbanization has further exacerbated potential flood losses and forthcoming risk. Thus, evaluating the changes in its exposure from present to future is essential for flood risk assessment, mitigation and management purposes. The main objective of this study is to present a methodology to assess the spatio-temporal dynamics of flood exposure from present to future using high-resolution and open-source data with a particular focus on the built-up area. To achieve this, the SLEUTH model, a cellular automata-based urban growth model, was employed for predicting the built-up area in Shenzhen in 2030. An almost threefold increase was observed in total built-up area from 421 km2 in 1995 to 1166 km2 in 2030, with the 2016 built-up area being 858 km2. Built-up areas, both present (2016) and projected (2030), were then used as the land cover input for flood hazard assessment based on a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model, which classified the flood hazard into five levels. The analysis indicates that the built-up area subjected to the two highest flood hazard levels will increase by almost 88% (212 km2) from present to future. The approach presented here can be leveraged by policymakers to identify critical areas that should be prioritized for flood mitigation and protection actions to minimize potential losses.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (12) ◽  
pp. 2424
Author(s):  
Xinchuang Chen ◽  
Feng Li ◽  
Xiaoqian Li ◽  
Hongxiao Liu ◽  
Yinhong Hu ◽  
...  

The identification and management of ecological restoration areas play important roles in promoting sustainable urban development. However, current research lacks a scientific basis for the scope and scale of ecological restoration. Further, the absence of a framework to assess policy goals and public preferences that leads to identification of ecological restoration areas across the science-policy interface is difficult, and the existing frameworks’ performance has little applicability. We proposed a transdisciplinary framework to combine ecological quality, ecological health, and ecosystem services as an assessment endpoint to identify priority restoration areas. Further, we classified the ecological restoration areas on a township scale by K-means. Based upon policy goals and public preferences of the Pearl River Delta urban agglomeration, we chose air quality, biodiversity, soil fragility, recreation quality, ecosystem vigor, landscape metrics, and the water supply ecosystem service as elements of the evaluation system. This study showed that priority restoration areas accounted for 10.8% of the urban agglomeration area and classified township, largely in the difference between natural and semi-natural ecosystems and the human environment. Policymakers can use this framework comprehensively and flexibly to identify and classify ecological restoration areas to achieve policy goals and fulfil public preferences.


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