The impact of speculation on commodity futures markets – A review of the findings of 100 empirical studies

2016 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-15 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marco Haase ◽  
Yvonne Seiler Zimmermann ◽  
Heinz Zimmermann
2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fabian Hollstein ◽  
Marcel Prokopczuk ◽  
Björn Tharann

Author(s):  
Kyle J. Putnam

In the early 2000s, financial investors began pouring billions of dollars into the commodity futures markets seeking the unique investment benefits of this distinct asset class. This “financialization” process has called into question the fundamental risk and return properties of commodity futures as evidence has emerged favoring the idea that the massive increase in investor flows caused a rise in futures prices, volatility, and intra- and intermarket return correlations. However, a contrarian line of research contends that the effects of the new “speculative” capital on the futures markets are unsubstantiated and the increased participation of financial investors poses little consequence to the economics of the marketplace. This latter line of literature maintains that the investment benefits of commodity futures have not been diminished and that fundamental factors and business cycle variations can explain the observed changes in commodity price behavior.


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