scholarly journals Risk aversion and optimal management of an uneven-aged forest under risk of windthrow: A Markov decision process approach

2016 ◽  
Vol 25 ◽  
pp. 94-114 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stéphane Couture ◽  
Marie-Josée Cros ◽  
Régis Sabbadin
2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 145-158 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xun Zhou ◽  
Huigui Rong ◽  
Chang Yang ◽  
Qun Zhang ◽  
Amin Vahedian Khezerlou ◽  
...  

2017 ◽  
Vol 47 (6) ◽  
pp. 800-807 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joseph Buongiorno ◽  
Mo Zhou ◽  
Craig Johnston

Markov decision process models were extended to reflect some consequences of the risk attitude of forestry decision makers. One approach consisted of maximizing the expected value of a criterion subject to an upper bound on the variance or, symmetrically, minimizing the variance subject to a lower bound on the expected value. The other method used the certainty equivalent criterion, a weighted average of the expected value and variance. The two approaches were applied to data for mixed softwood–hardwood forests in the southern United States with multiple financial and ecological criteria. Compared with risk neutrality or risk seeking, financial risk aversion reduced expected annual financial returns and production and led to shorter cutting cycles that lowered the expected diversity of tree species and size, stand basal area, stored CO2e, and old-growth area.


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