Probabilistic electrical load forecasting for buildings using Bayesian deep neural networks

2021 ◽  
pp. 103853
Author(s):  
Lei Xu ◽  
Maomao Hu ◽  
Cheng Fan
Author(s):  
S.S. Loskutov ◽  
◽  
P.V. Shymaniuk ◽  

The scientific research presents the results of a study of one-factor forecasting of the total electrical load at three hierarchical levels of the integrated power system (IPS) of Ukraine using artificial neural networks, such as LSTM. Based on research, forecasting errors at each hierarchical level of the power system were analyzed. Methods for improving the quality and stability of forecasts were proposed. The obtained results are the basis for the study of the assessment of the accuracy of forecasting the summary electrical load in the IPS of Ukraine. Ref. 9, fig. 4, table.


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