Reliability analysis using adaptive Polynomial-Chaos Kriging and probability density evolution method

Author(s):  
Tong Zhou ◽  
Yongbo Peng
2012 ◽  
Vol 193-194 ◽  
pp. 1230-1233
Author(s):  
Zhang Jun Liu ◽  
Xing Fang ◽  
Yong Wan ◽  
Yan Fu Xing

The probability density evolution method (PDEM) has been used to research the stochastic earthquake response and reliability analysis of large-scale aqueducts structures, with the changeable water level in tub and under the condition of the interaction between water and boundary of the tub. The results show that,the probability distribution of stochastic seismic responses about aqueduct structure is rules distribution, the response and failure probability of large-scale aqueduct structures under the stochastic earthquake are increased as the rising of water level, however, with the water level unchangeably, the seismic response is distinctness smaller while the seismic reliability much higher after considering the water sloshing effect on the aqueduct structures. Within the calculation of seismic resistance about the large aqueduct structures, the impact should be considered including the changeable water level and water sloshing.


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