Impact of stock market trading on currency market volatility spillovers

Examining the interrelationship between currency market volatility and stock market volatility will create abundant trading opportunities to the investors irrespective of whether the return of one market is moving up or down. This research work intended to examine how the exchange rate volatility between Indian rupee and foreign currencies, such as US dollar, euro, Japanese yen and British pound, can influence the return and volatility of the Indian stock market. The research data extensively cover daily price observations of foreign currencies as well as Nifty index for 1500 days. The generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) is used for modelling foreign exchange (FX) rates volatility and its impact across Indian stock market. The mean equation of the model confirms that any appreciation in Indian rupee will lead to channelization of more funds towards stock market. Further, it is validated that the volatility shocks between the stock market and currency market are quite persistent. Besides the model also points that the volatility attributes are very strong between US dollar and Nifty. The Granger causality test wrap up with a finding that the volatility shocks of British pound have a causal relation with Nifty return. The result of this study will help the domestic as well as foreign investors in favour of portfolio diversification decisions. The study also spots that the policymakers can indirectly intervene into stock market through monitory policy measures.

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Relationship Between FIIs’ Herding and Returns in the Indian Equity Market: Further Empirical Evidence

Global Business Review ◽

10.1177/0972150919845223 ◽

2019 ◽

pp. 097215091984522

Author(s):

Kapil Choudhary ◽

Parminder Singh ◽

Amit Soni

Keyword(s):

Stock Market ◽

Empirical Evidence ◽

Trading Volume ◽

Negative Relationship ◽

Positive Association ◽

Vital Role ◽

Market Volatility ◽

Market Returns ◽

Stock Market Returns ◽

Stock Market Trading

Empirical evidence indicates that foreign institutional investors (FIIs) play a vital role in financial markets, and being the major players, they demonstrate positive feedback trading behaviour and usually follow one another’s actions. In order to examine this phenomenon, the present study endeavoured to unearth the relationship between foreign institutional investments (FIIs) and returns in the Indian stock market, trading volume and volatility. The return of the Nifty50 index has surrogated market returns, while volatility is represented by conditional volatility computed from Nifty50, from January 1999 to May 2017. The vector autoregression (VAR) results indicate a positive association between herding among FIIs and lagged market returns, while information asymmetry has no impact on herding. On the other hand, previous-day volatility has a significant bearing on the herding measure. Overall, the results portray a significant relationship between herding and stock market returns in India. The results of multivariate regression exhibit that market return was a primary factor for FII herding during the study period under consideration, while trading volume bore no relationship with herding. In case of market volatility, the empirical results are in congruence with the fact that during the period of the volatile market, FIIs prefer to not indulge in herding. Furthermore, the results of three sub-periods, that is, before, during and after the crisis, are similar to the results of the whole study period which indicates that the return is a prime and vital force for herding; on the contrary, market volatility appears to have a negative relationship with herding.

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