Impact of the COVID-19 Outbreak on the Currency Exchanges of Selected Countries

The paper aims to analyse the impact of the COVID outbreak on the currency market. The study considers spot rates of seven major currencies (i.e., EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, USD/CAD, USD/CHF, and CHF/JPY). To capture the impact of the outbreak on returns and the volatility of returns of seven currencies during pandemic, the study has segregated in two window periods (i.e., pre- [1st Jan 2019 to 31st Dec, 2019] and post-outbreak of COVID-19 [1st Jan, 2020 to 22nd Dec, 2020]). The study has applied various methods and models (i.e., econometric-based compounded annual growth rate [CAGR], dummy variable regression, and generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity [GARCH]). The result of the study captures the negative impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on three currencies—USD/JPY, AUD/USD, and USD/CHF—and positive significant impact on EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, and CHF/JPY. Investors can take short position in these while having long position in other currencies. The inferences drawn from the analysis are providing insight to investors and hedgers.

PROBLEMS OF REGULATION OF THE CRYPTOCURRENCY MARKET IN RUSSIA AND THE WORLD

The appearance of cryptocurrency has become a high-profile event, around which disputes still persist. Some see it as a direct threat to the security of national economy, some as a long-awaited triumph of market principles of self-regulation. The necessity, expediency and the most effective model of regulating the cryptocurrency market are burning issues. The relevance of these issues in the context of Russian reality is proved at least by the fact that Russia is one of the leading countries in the use of digital currency, and the number of crypto wallets opened by Russians has exceeded 8 million. The aim of this article is to review the currently existing opinions and accumulated experience in solving the problem of regulating the digital currency market.

Current Development Trends in the Digital Currency Market

Aim. The presented study aims to analyze the development of the digital currency market, investigate trends for expanding the use of its tools, identify the peculiarities of the current stage of digital currency use, and consider the mechanism of introducing central bank digital currencies (CBDCs).Tasks. The authors specify the role and content of the digital currency market and its tools in the modern Russian economy; examine the formation and development of the cryptocurrency market from the perspective of introducing the “digital ruble”; identify regulatory prerequisites that hinder the development of the digital currency market; describe current trends and the mechanism of organizing the introduction of CBDCs.Methods. This article reflects a comprehensive approach to assessing the effectiveness of the use of digital currency market tools based on the use of economic-statistical and general scientific dialectical methods as well as the laws and principles of formal logic. The conducted studies and recommendations are based on statistics provided by CoinMarketCap. In particular, the methodological basis includes econometric modeling tools used to assess the cryptocurrency market in order to identify its characteristic traits and features.Results. Under modern conditions, the digital currency market is considered to be one of the main transformational elements of the digital economy. The authors focus on the prerequisites for the development and implementation of the domestic digital currency as an instrument of the national monetary policy and for ensuring the financial stability of the economy as a whole. This hypothesis is confirmed by the analysis and study of the global economic situation in the international digital currency market as well as the peculiarities of the functioning of its key components.Conclusions. In the modern context, it is important to have a theoretical and practical understanding of the conditions for the functioning of the digital currency market in the national economy and to find a comprehensive solution to issues associated with expanding the use of its tools for the development of the payment system and the formation of a favorable competitive environment.

A Study on Investors Awareness about Equity and Currency Market in Private Sectors

The study was conducted to examine the awareness among the investors about equity and currency market. The study was useful to identify the investors’ mentality towards stock market. The researcher could gain knowledge about equity and currency market. As well, it’s also helpful in creating a good relationship with the investors. At the beginning of a business, owners put some effort to finding the finance assets into the business. This creates the shape of the capital on the business liability to a separate entity from its owners. Although, the foreign exchange market is isolated comparing to other than this. Nevertheless market manipulation of central banks by the foreign exchange market has to be mentioned to the nearest ideal perfect completion.

Examining Volatility Spillover Between Foreign Exchange Markets and Stock Markets of Countries such as BRICS Countries

The objective of this article is to examine the volatility spillover effect between the foreign exchange market and the stock market of Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS) countries along with Japan as the developed country in the region, affecting the BRICS countries. Generalized Autoregressive Conditionally Heteroscedastic (GARCH) (1,1) method is used to study the volatility between the stock market and the foreign exchange market in selected countries, and asymmetric model, that is, Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity—EGARCH (1,1) is also used to investigate the presence of leverage effects in both stock market and foreign exchange market in selected countries. GARCH findings suggest a two-way volatility spillover between the stock market and foreign exchange markets for India, China and South Africa. In BRICS countries, volatility spillover from the currency market to the stock market is seen as more evident and robust as compared to spillover from the stock market to the currency market. A positive asymmetry in spillover is also observed from the foreign exchange market to the stock market. The findings of the study may provide valuable information to investors for decision-making in international portfolio investment and also for economic policymakers for their financial stability perspective.

VOLATILITY CONTAGION AMONG STOCK, CURRENCY, AND BULK SHIPPING MARKET DURING THE CHINA’S STOCK MARKET CRASH CRISIS

Six financial markets were verified contagious to Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite (SSEC): domestic equity market (SSEC and China COSCO Shipping Co.), domestic currency market, international currency market, global shipping market, commodity future market and bulk shipping market (BDI) which regarded as a leading indicator of future economic growth instead of Li Keqiang index. This research analyzed intermarket contagion from March 14, 2008 to March 31, 2018. MIDAS-GARCH model was adopted to identify the spillover effect among the Shanghai Stock market and inter-market indices. The findings of this study were concluded as follows: (1) The commodity, global shipping market had significant volatility transmission to SSEC both before and after the crash crisis. (2) The volatility of domestic currency market was significantly contagious to SSEC only after the crash.