scholarly journals Ruin probabilities for a Sparre Andersen model with investments

Author(s):  
Ernst Eberlein ◽  
Yuri Kabanov ◽  
Thorsten Schmidt
2018 ◽  
Vol 22 (4) ◽  
pp. 1493-1506 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lesław Gajek ◽  
Marcin Rudź

AbstractAfter implementation of Solvency II, insurance companies can use internal risk models. In this paper, we show how to calculate finite-horizon ruin probabilities and prove for them new upper and lower bounds in a risk-switching Sparre Andersen model. Due to its flexibility, the model can be helpful for calculating some regulatory capital requirements. The model generalizes several discrete time- as well as continuous time risk models. A Markov chain is used as a ‘switch’ changing the amount and/or respective wait time distributions of claims while the insurer can adapt the premiums in response. The envelopes of generalized moment generating functions are applied to bound insurer’s ruin probabilities.


2007 ◽  
Vol 37 (02) ◽  
pp. 203-233 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hansjörg Albrecher ◽  
Jürgen Hartinger ◽  
Stefan Thonhauser

For the classical Cramér-Lundberg risk model, a dividend strategy of threshold type has recently been suggested in the literature. This strategy consists of paying out part of the premium income as dividends to shareholders whenever the free surplus is above a given threshold level. In contrast to the well-known horizontal barrier strategy, the threshold strategy can lead to a positive infinite-horizon survival probability, with reduced profit in terms of dividend payments. In this paper we extend several of these results to a Sparre Andersen model with generalized Erlang(n)-distributed interclaim times. Furthermore, we compare the performance of the threshold strategy to a linear dividend barrier model. In particular, (partial) integro-differential equations for the corresponding ruin probabilities and expected discounted dividend payments are provided for both models and explicitly solved for n = 2 and exponentially distributed claim amounts. Finally, the explicit solutions are used to identify parameter sets for which one strategy outperforms the other and vice versa.


Risks ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 53
Author(s):  
Franck Adékambi ◽  
Kokou Essiomle

This paper examines the impact of the parameters of the distribution of the time at which a bank’s client defaults on their obligated payments, on the Lundberg adjustment coefficient, the upper and lower bounds of the ruin probability. We study the corresponding ruin probability on the assumption of (i) a phase-type distribution for the time at which default occurs and (ii) an embedding of the stochastic cash flow or the reserves of the bank to the Sparre Andersen model. The exact analytical expression for the ruin probability is not tractable under these assumptions, so Cramér Lundberg bounds types are obtained for the ruin probabilities with concomitant explicit equations for the calculation of the adjustment coefficient. To add some numerical flavour to our results, we provide some numerical illustrations.


2007 ◽  
Vol 37 (2) ◽  
pp. 203-233 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hansjörg Albrecher ◽  
Jürgen Hartinger ◽  
Stefan Thonhauser

For the classical Cramér-Lundberg risk model, a dividend strategy of threshold type has recently been suggested in the literature. This strategy consists of paying out part of the premium income as dividends to shareholders whenever the free surplus is above a given threshold level. In contrast to the well-known horizontal barrier strategy, the threshold strategy can lead to a positive infinite-horizon survival probability, with reduced profit in terms of dividend payments. In this paper we extend several of these results to a Sparre Andersen model with generalized Erlang(n)-distributed interclaim times. Furthermore, we compare the performance of the threshold strategy to a linear dividend barrier model. In particular, (partial) integro-differential equations for the corresponding ruin probabilities and expected discounted dividend payments are provided for both models and explicitly solved for n = 2 and exponentially distributed claim amounts. Finally, the explicit solutions are used to identify parameter sets for which one strategy outperforms the other and vice versa.


2012 ◽  
Vol 29 (2) ◽  
pp. 405-416
Author(s):  
Ji Yang Tan ◽  
Lin Xiao ◽  
Shao Yue Liu ◽  
Xiang Qun Yang

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