Uncertainty propagation within an integrated model of climate change

Integrated assessment models (IAMs) for climate change refers to a broad category of research approaches in climate change. Climate change is the most complicated global environmental problem. By the very nature of climate change, research has to be interdisciplinary and multifaceted. IAM is the mainstream methodological approach in climate change research. Most researchers in climate change utilize IAMs directly or indirectly. IAMs draw knowledge and strengths from various disciplines related to climate change; contributions from each discipline rely on the mathematical representations of certain relationships connected to climate change; disciplinary components are linked through a unified modeling platform(s). In particular, IAMs for climate change usually involve social-economic components as well as natural sciences components. The key linkages in IAM platforms are anthropogenic greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in climate systems and climate change impacts on social-economic systems. The outputs of IAMs are numerical simulation results based on assumptions, historical data, and scenario designs. IAMs are widely used in assessing various GHG mitigation policies and climate impacts. In fact, conclusions in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Assessment Reports are drawn substantially from numerous IAMs. IAMs for climate change started in the late 1980s. Since then, IAMs for climate change have developed into a full-fledged interdisciplinary research field that involves hundreds of models, thriving online resources, and thousands of academic publications and policy reports around the world. IAM for climate change, as an interdisciplinary research approach, has received recognition by mainstream disciplines. The Dynamic Integrated model of Climate and the Economy (DICE) and the Regional Integrated model of Climate and the Economy (RICE)—two IAMs for climate change—are part of the core contributions in William Nordhaus’s Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences in 2018.

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Integrated Model Systems for National Assessments of the Effects of Climate Change: Applications in New Zealand and Bangladesh

Climate Change Vulnerability and Adaptation in Asia and the Pacific ◽

10.1007/978-94-017-1053-4_20 ◽

1996 ◽

pp. 215-227 ◽

Cited By ~ 2

Author(s):

R. A. Warrick ◽

G. J. Kenny ◽

G. C. Sims ◽

N. J. Ericksen ◽

Q. K. Ahmad ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

New Zealand ◽

Integrated Model ◽

Model Systems

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General Introduction

Optimizing the Use of Farm Waste and Non-Farm Waste to Increase Productivity and Food Security - Practice, Progress, and Proficiency in Sustainability ◽

10.4018/978-1-5225-7934-2.ch001 ◽

2019 ◽

pp. 1-42

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Local Food ◽

Integrated Model ◽

Small Island ◽

Caribbean Region ◽

General Introduction ◽

The Past ◽

Policy Interventions ◽

Agricultural Diversification ◽

The Caribbean

There are myriad issues facing traditional farming in the Caribbean region. Despite various policy interventions and implementation of concepts over the past five decades for agricultural diversification in the region to increase local food production, the region is still grappling with finding an appropriate model to solve major issues. The issues are now exacerbated by the impacts of climate change, and major shifts in the approach to solving the issues have not yet proved fruitful. Against the setback of issues, controversies, and problems of farming in the Caribbean and the St. Kitts-Nevis example of a small island developing state (SID), the justification will be made for a diversified-integrated model that can account for the setbacks by optimizing farm and non-farm waste to build productivity, competitiveness, flexibility, and sustainability which are categorically the factors of successful farming.

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