Uncovered interest parity with fundamentals: a Brazilian exchange rate forecast model

Author(s):  
Marcelo Kfoury Muinhos ◽  
Paulo Springer de Freitas ◽  
Fabio Araujo
2019 ◽  
Vol 95 ◽  
pp. 317-331 ◽  
Author(s):  
Charles Engel ◽  
Dohyeon Lee ◽  
Chang Liu ◽  
Chenxin Liu ◽  
Steve Pak Yeung Wu

2019 ◽  
Vol 26 (1) ◽  
pp. 21-42 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nils Herger

Following the pioneering work of Irving Fisher, this article assesses the uncovered interest-parity (UIP) condition by comparing Indian interest and exchange rates during the 1869 to 1906 period. The Indian case provides a good example of the UIP condition, since Indian rupee and sterling bonds were simultaneously traded in the London financial market and subject to negligible default risks. Large deviations from the UIP condition arose when India suffered from pervasive levels of uncertainty about the future of its silver-based currency system. Otherwise, a relatively close correlation arises between sterling-to-rupee interest-rate differences and exchange-rate changes.


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