scholarly journals Beyond Expectations: Effects of Early Elections in U.S. Presidential Nomination Contests

2009 ◽  
Vol 42 (01) ◽  
pp. 45-52 ◽  
Author(s):  
Todd Donovan ◽  
Rob Hunsaker

This article explores how results from Iowa may affect outcomes in subsequent nomination contests. We suggest that how Iowa matters may be determined, at least in part, by how voters and the news media assess whether or not candidates meet or exceed expectations there.

2008 ◽  
Vol 28 ◽  
pp. 343-359 ◽  
Author(s):  
Audrey Haynes

This paper examines the research in media and presidential nomination campaigns as it has emerged during the post-reform era and moved into the new millennia. While there has been ample progress in the field, most notable has been the change in tone in the research from “bad” news to “good” news. Interpretations from the most recent research in the area suggest that the news media do not perform as poorly as judged in the earlier decades, at least in terms of providing information to voters. Moreover, voters are now portrayed not as naïve citizens who are easily manipulated by the media, but rather more resilient to media manipulation, and active consumers of information for political learning purposes.


2012 ◽  
Vol 45 (03) ◽  
pp. 422-427 ◽  
Author(s):  
John G. Geer

Negative ads have become increasingly common in presidential campaigns. Figure 1 well illustrates this point (see also West 2009). The upcoming 2012 elections will almost surely augment this upward trend of more and more negativity. In fact, with the emergence of Super Pacs, the share of attack ads in 2012 will likely be significantly higher than in 2008, which in and of itself was the high-water mark for attack ads in the modern era. The harsh tone of the battle for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination certainly points toward an exceptionally nasty fall campaign.


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