THE ZERO LOWER BOUND AND CRUDE OIL AND FINANCIAL MARKETS SPILLOVERS

2016 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
pp. 654-665 ◽  
Author(s):  
Apostolos Serletis ◽  
Libo Xu
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Lower Bound ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Crude Oil ◽  
Zero Lower Bound ◽  
Conditional Mean ◽  
Volatility Spillovers ◽  
Dummy Variable ◽  
Oil Market ◽  
Mean And Variance

We investigate mean and volatility spillovers between the crude oil market and the debt, stock, and foreign exchange markets. In doing so, we estimate a four-variable VARMA–GARCH model with a BEKK representation and also examine the possible effects of monetary policy at the zero lower bound by including a dummy variable in both the conditional mean and variance equations. We find that the crude oil market and the financial markets are tightly interconnected and that monetary policy at the zero lower bound has strengthened their linkages.

Optimal Monetary Policy at the Zero Lower Bound

2015 ◽  
Author(s):  
Costas Azariadis ◽  
James Bullard ◽  
Aarti Singh ◽  
Jacek Suda
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Lower Bound ◽  
Zero Lower Bound ◽  
Optimal Monetary Policy

scholarly journals Measuring the Effect of the Zero Lower Bound on Medium- and Longer-Term Interest Rates

2014 ◽  
Vol 104 (10) ◽  
pp. 3154-3185 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eric T. Swanson ◽  
John C. Williams
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Lower Bound ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Zero Lower Bound ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Macroeconomic Models ◽  
Monetary And Fiscal Policy ◽  
Effectiveness Of Monetary Policy

According to standard macroeconomic models, the zero lower bound greatly reduces the effectiveness of monetary policy and increases the efficacy of fiscal policy. However, private-sector decisions depend on the entire path of expected future short-term interest rates, not just the current short-term rate. Put differently, longer-term yields matter. We show how to measure the zero bound's effects on yields of any maturity. Indeed, 1- and 2-year Treasury yields were surprisingly unconstrained throughout 2008 to 2010, suggesting that monetary and fiscal policy were about as effective as usual during this period. Only beginning in late 2011 did these yields become more constrained. (JEL E43, E52, E62)

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