scholarly journals Rare Event Analysis of Markov-Modulated Infinite-Server Queues: A Poisson Limit

2013 ◽  
Vol 29 (4) ◽  
pp. 463-474 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joke Blom ◽  
Koen De Turck ◽  
Michel Mandjes
2013 ◽  
Vol 29 (1) ◽  
pp. 112-127 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Blom ◽  
M. Mandjes ◽  
H. Thorsdottir

2017 ◽  
Vol 31 (3) ◽  
pp. 265-283 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ewan Jacov Cahen ◽  
Michel Mandjes ◽  
Bert Zwart

This paper focuses on the evaluation of the probability that both components of a bivariate stochastic process ever simultaneously exceed some large level; a leading example is that of two Markov fluid queues driven by the same background process ever reaching the set (u, ∞)×(u, ∞), for u>0. Exact analysis being prohibitive, we resort to asymptotic techniques and efficient simulation, focusing on large values of u. The first contribution concerns various expressions for the decay rate of the probability of interest, which are valid under Gärtner–Ellis-type conditions. The second contribution is an importance-sampling-based rare-event simulation technique for the bivariate Markov modulated fluid model, which is capable of asymptotically efficiently estimating the probability of interest; the efficiency of this procedure is assessed in a series of numerical experiments.


2019 ◽  
Vol 135 ◽  
pp. 102039
Author(s):  
H.M. Jansen ◽  
M. Mandjes ◽  
K. De Turck ◽  
S. Wittevrongel

2012 ◽  
Vol 28 (3) ◽  
pp. 452-477 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ton Hellings ◽  
Michel Mandjes ◽  
Joke Blom

2015 ◽  
Vol 29 (3) ◽  
pp. 433-459 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joke Blom ◽  
Koen De Turck ◽  
Michel Mandjes

This paper focuses on an infinite-server queue modulated by an independently evolving finite-state Markovian background process, with transition rate matrix Q≡(qij)i,j=1d. Both arrival rates and service rates are depending on the state of the background process. The main contribution concerns the derivation of central limit theorems (CLTs) for the number of customers in the system at time t≥0, in the asymptotic regime in which the arrival rates λi are scaled by a factor N, and the transition rates qij by a factor Nα, with α∈ℝ+. The specific value of α has a crucial impact on the result: (i) for α>1 the system essentially behaves as an M/M/∞ queue, and in the CLT the centered process has to be normalized by √N; (ii) for α<1, the centered process has to be normalized by N1−α/2, with the deviation matrix appearing in the expression for the variance.


2013 ◽  
Vol 76 (4) ◽  
pp. 403-424 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Blom ◽  
O. Kella ◽  
M. Mandjes ◽  
H. Thorsdottir

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