scholarly journals Using an age-structured COVID-19 epidemic model and data to model virulence evolution in Wuhan, China

2022 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 14-28
Author(s):  
Xi-Chao Duan ◽  
Xue-Zhi Li ◽  
Maia Martcheva ◽  
Sanling Yuan
2021 ◽  
pp. 108590
Author(s):  
J. Cuevas-Maraver ◽  
P.G. Kevrekidis ◽  
Q.Y. Chen ◽  
G.A. Kevrekidis ◽  
Víctor Villalobos-Daniel ◽  
...  

Mathematics ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (9) ◽  
pp. 147 ◽  
Author(s):  
Toshikazu Kuniya

In this paper, we are concerned with the asymptotic stability of the nontrivial endemic equilibrium of an age-structured susceptible-infective-recovered (SIR) epidemic model. For a special form of the disease transmission function, we perform the reduction of the model into a four-dimensional system of ordinary differential equations (ODEs). We show that the unique endemic equilibrium of the reduced system exists if the basic reproduction number for the original system is greater than unity. Furthermore, we perform the stability analysis of the endemic equilibrium and obtain a fourth-order characteristic equation. By using the Routh–Hurwitz criterion, we numerically show that the endemic equilibrium is asymptotically stable in some epidemiologically relevant parameter settings.


2014 ◽  
Vol 93 (11) ◽  
pp. 2249-2276
Author(s):  
John M. Cochran ◽  
Yongzhi Xu

2017 ◽  
Vol 10 (03) ◽  
pp. 1750038 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lili Liu ◽  
Xianning Liu

The global dynamics of an SVEIR epidemic model with age-dependent waning immunity, latency and relapse are studied. Sharp threshold properties for global asymptotic stability of both disease-free equilibrium and endemic equilibrium are given. The asymptotic smoothness, uniform persistence and the existence of interior global attractor of the semi-flow generated by a family of solutions of the system are also addressed. Furthermore, some related strategies for controlling the spread of diseases are discussed.


2001 ◽  
Vol 42 (6-7) ◽  
pp. 883-907 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xue-Zhi Li ◽  
Geni Gupur ◽  
Guang-Tian Zhu

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