The Market-Timing Performance of Mutual Fund Managers

1983 ◽  
Vol 56 (3) ◽  
pp. 323 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stanley J. Kon
Keyword(s):  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Market Timing ◽  
Mutual Fund Managers ◽  
Fund Managers

scholarly journals Market Timing And Selectivity: An Empirical Investigation Into The Features Of Greek Mutual Fund Managers

2011 ◽  
Vol 18 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nikolaos Philippas
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Evidence ◽  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Performance Index ◽  
Empirical Investigation ◽  
Market Timing ◽  
Font Size ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Mutual Fund Managers ◽  
Fund Managers ◽  
Market Index

<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: justify; margin: 0in 31.5pt 0pt 0.5in; mso-pagination: none;"><span style="mso-bidi-font-style: italic; mso-ansi-language: EN-US;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-family: Times New Roman;">&Tau;his paper is an empirical assessment of the performance of mutual fund managers in terms of &ldquo;market timing&rdquo; and &ldquo;selectivity&rdquo;, within the framework suggested by Treynor and Mazuy (1966) and Henriksson and Merton (1981). The relevant data set is a balanced panel of nineteen Greek managers, over a sixty-month period. Empirical evidence does not provide support for correct timing, irrespectively of how the returns of the market index are calculated. It is interesting to note that using the Total Performance Index reduces the ability of managers for selectivity. This result holds for both the models utilized in our study.</span></span></span></p>

scholarly journals An Empirical Investigation of the Performance of Fund Managers in Pakistan

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 56-68
Author(s):  
Sanaullah Sanaullah ◽  
Amna Noor ◽  
Salleh Khan ◽  
Muhammad Shahbaz Khan
Keyword(s):  
Mutual Funds ◽  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Market Timing ◽  
Performance Study ◽  
Stock Selection ◽  
Mutual Fund Managers ◽  
Fund Managers ◽  
Timing Ability ◽  
Equity Funds ◽  
Manager Performance

This study aims to determine the stock selection ability and market timing ability of mutual fund managers, focusing on conventional funds and Islamic funds in Pakistan.  Although there has been significant growth in the number and assets of mutual funds in recent years, few studies measure the performance of mutual funds managers. The scarcity of existing literature motivates this study. In this study, two models are used to measure the stock selection and market timing on a sample of conventional mutual funds and Islamic mutual funds over 2010 and 2019 using annual returns. Overall, the results indicate that the performance study of conventional mutual funds and Islamic mutual funds indicates that manager performance is not superior in all three portfolios, i.e., conventional funds, Islamic funds, and overall funds in over sample period. This also indicates that both Conventional and Islamic fund managers do not outperform the market (KSE 100 index). Thus, there is a lack of market timing ability. Using Tranoy and mazuy and Jansen models found a lack of stock selection and market timing ability of mutual fund managers in Pakistani mutual funds. In this study, I have applied only two models to examine both the timing and selection ability of conventional and Islamic Pakistani equity funds. For future possibilities, the study suggests adopting several methods and approaches like the TMFF3 model and HM-FF3 model, making the study more comprehensive and accurate than this research.

scholarly journals Market Timing and Stock Selection Ability of Mutual Funds in India: An Empirical Investigation

2007 ◽  
Vol 32 (2) ◽  
pp. 39-52 ◽  
Author(s):  
Soumya Guha Deb ◽  
Ashok Banerjee ◽  
B B Chakrabarti
Keyword(s):  
Mutual Funds ◽  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Market Timing ◽  
Public Information ◽  
Superior Performance ◽  
Stock Selection ◽  
Mutual Fund Managers ◽  
Fund Managers ◽  
Timing Ability

Evaluation of performance of mutual funds and identification of successful fund managers are of great interest to both investors and academicians. Two possible methods that are presumed to be used by fund managers for generating superior performance are identified as: Market timing: Market timing skills imply assessing correctly the direction of the market, whether bull or bear, and positioning their portfolios accordingly. Stock selection: Stock selection skills involve micro forecasting, which generally forecasts price movements of individual stocks relative to stocks and identification of individual stocks that are under-or over-valued relative to equities in general. The two pioneering works in this field is by Treynor Mazuy( 1966) and Henriksson Merton ( 1981). They developed two different models for testing the market timing and stock selection abilities of the fund managers but found little evidence of timing by the fund managers in their samples. Most of the other works mentioned in the paper have used these two models (which we name as traditional/unconditional models) or slight variations of the same for testing market timing and stock selection abilities of the fund managers. Person and Scadt (1996) modified the classical performance measures (of timing and stock selection ability) to take account of well-known information variables like interest rate, market dividend yield, etc. They termed it as ‘conditional approach’ of measuring mutual fund performance and claimed that conditioning on public information controls for biases in traditional market timing and stock selection models. Traditional models have taken the view that ‘any information’ correlated with the future market returns is superior information; in other words, they are unconditional models. Person and Scadt's approach used basically the same simplifying assumptions as the traditional models but they assumed, in addition, semi-strong form of market efficiency. The idea was to distinguish between market timing based on public information from market timing information that is superior to the lagged publicly available information variables. Although the academic literature on stock selection and market timing ability of mutual fund managers is rich and spans several decades, not many studies exist on this issue using emerging market data. This paper attempts to find the stock selection and market timing abilities of the Indian mutual fund managers using unconditional as well as conditional approaches. With a sample of 96 Indian mutual fund schemes, a lack of market timing ability and presence of stock selection ability were observed among the Indian funds managers in both unconditional as well as conditional approaches. A pooled regression was carried out for various categories of funds as well as for the entire sample, which also showed a lack of market timing abilities and presence of stock selection abilities.

Mutual fund managers’ market timing abilities: Indian evidence

2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (4) ◽  
pp. 342-354
Author(s):  
Mahfooz Alam ◽  
Valeed Ahmad Ansari
Keyword(s):  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Market Timing ◽  
Mutual Fund Managers ◽  
Fund Managers

scholarly journals Do Mutual Fund Managers Time Market Sentiment?

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 527
Author(s):  
Jun-Hao Li ◽  
Chun-Fan You ◽  
Chin-Sheng Huang
Keyword(s):  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Market Timing ◽  
Mutual Fund Managers ◽  
Bear Market ◽  
Market Sentiment ◽  
Fund Managers ◽  
Timing Ability ◽  
Equity Funds ◽  
Volatility Timing ◽  
The Impact

This paper examines whether fund managers can adjust the exposure of portfolio to time market sentiment, thus expanding the new dimension of the study of mutual fund managers’ timing ability. Using the data of Chinese open-end equity funds from January 2010 to December 2019, based on the CICSI sentiment index developed by Yi and Mao (2009), we find strong evidence that Chinese mutual fund managers have sentiment ability during the sample period. In addition, the funds with positive sentiment timing ability outperforms those without such by 2.20% per year, and the longer the fund survives, the more likely for it to have sentiment timing ability. Our findings remain robust even after controlling the impact of bull and bear market on China’s A-share market in 2015, market timing, volatility timing and liquidity timing, and after using three new sentiment indicators to verify the finding, three indicators being the net buying amount of northward capital, the net buying amount of financing, and the net ratio of limit up.

scholarly journals MUTUAL FUNDS PERFORMANCE EVALUATION BASED ON SELECTIVITY AND MARKET TIMING

IQTISHODUNA ◽  
2012 ◽  
Author(s):  
Werner R. Murhadi
Keyword(s):  
Performance Evaluation ◽  
Mutual Funds ◽  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Market Timing ◽  
Empirical Evaluation ◽  
Stock Selection ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Mutual Fund Managers ◽  
Fund Managers

This paper is an empirical evaluation of the performance of mutual fund managers in terms of “market timing” and “selectivity”, within the framework suggested by Treynor and Mazuy (1966) and Henriksson and Merton (1981). The relevant data set is a balanced panel of 55 (fifty five) mutual funds, over a 17 (seventeen)-month period began from February 2008 until June 2009. The result found that only 4 (four) mutual funds demonstrated a good performance in market timing and 4 (four) mutual funds showed a good performance in stock selection. Both methods have a good indicator to reflect mutual funds performance.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document