scholarly journals Prediction Models of Infrastructure Resilience as a Decision Support System Based on Bayesian Network

2021 ◽  
Vol 832 (1) ◽  
pp. 012014
Author(s):  
A D Agustin ◽  
T J W Adi
2015 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 131-151 ◽  
Author(s):  
Philippe Abbal ◽  
Jean-Marie Sablayrolles ◽  
Éric Matzner-Lober ◽  
Jean-Michel Boursiquot ◽  
Cedric Baudrit ◽  
...  

Dengue is a viral disease that has been feared by people globally. Due to its rapid prevalence and increasing threat, this study explored on the use of data mining techniques together with decision support system to develop prediction models of dengue survivability. This study was focused on three important points namely: identify significant predictor attributes to dengue survivability prediction, development of a rule-based and decision tree models for dengue survivability prediction, and the development of a dengue survivability platform for prediction purposes. The developed rule-based and decision tree models were compared according to accuracy and they underwent the 10-fold cross validation procedure and were integrated in the system to provide a platform to predict the survivability of a patient given the input medical data using a client-server configuration via the Internet. The result of the prediction for the dengue survivability may be used as an intervention by medical practitioners in the general management of dengue cases.


2018 ◽  
Vol 17 (06) ◽  
pp. 1891-1913 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yongheng Wang ◽  
Xiaozan Zhang ◽  
Zengwang Wang

In-stream big data processing is an important part of big data processing. Proactive decision support systems can predict future system states and execute some actions to avoid unwanted states. In this paper, we propose a proactive decision support system for online event streams. Based on Complex Event Processing (CEP) technology, this method uses structure varying dynamic Bayesian network to predict future events and system states. Different Bayesian network structures are learned and used according to different event context. A networked distributed Markov decision processes model with predicting states is proposed as sequential decision making model. A Q-learning method is investigated for this model to find optimal joint policy. The experimental evaluations show that this method works well for congestion control in transportation system.


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