scholarly journals Nomogram for predicting axillary lymph node pathological response in node-positive breast cancer patients after neoadjuvant chemotherapy

2021 ◽  
Vol Publish Ahead of Print ◽  
Author(s):  
Wenyan Wang ◽  
Xin Wang ◽  
Jiaqi Liu ◽  
Qiang Zhu ◽  
Xiang Wang ◽  
...  
2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e12090-e12090
Author(s):  
Wenyan Wang ◽  
Xin Wang ◽  
Xiang Wang ◽  
Jiaqi Liu ◽  
Pin Zhang

e12090 Background: Pathological complete response (pCR) of axillary lymph nodes (ALNs) is frequently achieved in patients with clinically node-positive breast cancer after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC), and ALN status is an important prognostic factor for breast cancer patients. Our goal is to develop a new predictive clinical model to assess the axillary lymph node pCR rate after NAC. Methods: A retrospective series of 547 patients who had biopsy-proven positive ALNs at diagnosis and undergoing axillary lymph node dissection from 2007 to 2014 in National Cancer Center/Cancer Hospital of Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences. We analyzed the clinicopathologic features and developed a nomogram to predict the probability of ALN pCR. Univariate assessment was performed using a logistic regression model. A multivariate logistic regression stepwise model was used to generate a nomogram to predict ALN pCR in node positive patients Variables with P < 0.05 on multivariable analysis were included in the nomogram. The adjusted area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was calculated to quantify the ability to rank patients by risk. Internal validation was estimated using 50-50 hold out validation method. Nomogram was validated externally with the prospective cohort of 167 patients from 2016 to 2018. Results: In retrospective study, there were 172 (31.4%) patients achieved axillary pCR after NAC. Multivariate analysis indicated that clinical nodal (N) stage, hormone receptor (HR) status and clinical response of primary tumor after NAC were significant independent predictors for axillary pCR ( P< 0.05). The NAC nomogram was based on these three variables. In the internal validation of performance, the AUCs for the training and test sets were 0.719 and 0.753, respectively. The nomogram was validated in an external cohort with an AUC of 0.734. Conclusions: We developed a nomogram to predict the likelihood of axillary pCR in node positive breast cancer patients after NAC. The predictive model performed well in prospective external validation. This practical tool could provide information to surgeons regarding whether to perform additional ALND after NAC.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wenyan Wang ◽  
Xin Wang ◽  
Xiang Wang ◽  
Pilin Wang

Abstract Background Pathological complete response (pCR) of axillary lymph nodes (ALNs) is frequently achieved in patients with clinically node-positive breast cancer after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC), and ALN status is an important prognostic factor for breast cancer patients. Our goal is to develop a new predictive clinical model to assess the axillary lymph node pCR rate after NAC. Methods A retrospective series of 547 patients who had biopsy-proven positive ALNs at diagnosis and undergoing axillary lymph node dissection from 2007 to 2014 in National Cancer Center/Cancer Hospital of Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences. We analyzed the clinicopathologic features and developed a nomogram to predict the probability of ALN pCR. Univariate assessment was performed using a logistic regression model. A multivariate logistic regression stepwise model was used to generate a nomogram to predict ALN pCR in node positive patients Variables with P < 0.05 on multivariable analysis were included in the nomogram. The adjusted area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was calculated to quantify the ability to rank patients by risk. Internal validation was estimated using 50–50 hold out validation method. Nomogram was validated externally with the prospective cohorts of 167 patients from 2016 to 2018 of Cancer Hospital of Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and 75 patients from 2018 to 2019 of Beijing Tiantan hospital. Results In retrospective study, there were 172 (31.4%) patients achieved axillary pCR after NAC. Multivariate analysis indicated that clinical nodal (N) stage, estrogen receptor (ER) status and clinical response of primary tumor after NAC were significant independent predictors for axillary pCR (P < 0.05). The NAC nomogram was based on these three variables. In the internal validation of performance, the AUCs for the training and test sets were 0.719 and 0.753, respectively. The nomogram was validated in external cohorts with AUCs of 0.862 and 0.766, respectively, which demonstrated good discriminatory power in the external validation data sets. Conclusion We developed a nomogram to predict the likelihood of axillary pCR in node positive breast cancer patients after NAC. The predictive model performed well in multicenter prospective external validation. This practical tool could provide information to surgeons regarding whether to perform additional ALND after NAC.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yizhen Zhou ◽  
Lei Zhang ◽  
Zining Jin ◽  
Hailan Yu ◽  
Siyu Ren ◽  
...  

Abstract Background:Axillary ultrasound (AUS) is one of the important bases for evaluating the axillary status of breast cancer patients. And it would be helpful for the reassessment of axillary lymph node status in these patients after neoadjuvant chemotherapy(NAC) and guide the selection of their axillary surgical options.The purpose of this study was to evaluate the diagnostic performance of ultrasound,and to find out the factors related to the outcome of ultrasound.Methods:In this retrospective analysis, 172 patients (one bilateral breast cancer) with breast cancer and clinical positive axillary nodes, were enrolled. After NAC, all patients received mastectomy and axillary lymph node dissection (ALND). AUS was used before and after NAC to assess the axilla status. Results:Of the 173 axillae, 137 (79.19%) had pathological metastasis after NAC. The accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value of axillary ultrasound in this cohort were 68.21%, 69.34%, 63.89%, 87.96% and 35.38% respectively. Univariate analysis showed that primary axillary lymph node(ALN) short axis, progesterone receptors, hormone receptors, the tumor status after NAC, tumor reduction rate, ALN short axis after NAC, physical examination of axilla after NAC and pN impacted the results of AUS(P = 0.000 ~ 0.040). Multivariate analysis of the above indicators showed that ALN short axis after NAC and pN associated with AUS results independently. Conclusion:AUS can accurately assess axilla status after NAC in most breast cancer patients. If the short axis of ALN≥10mm and AUS negative, SLNB could be chosen. However, AUS cannot detect residual lymph node disease after NAC in a short axis of the ALN <10mm.


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