scholarly journals Early warning of some notifiable infectious diseases in China by the artificial neural network

2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 191420
Author(s):  
Zuiyuan Guo ◽  
Kevin He ◽  
Dan Xiao
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Infectious Diseases ◽  
Digestive Tract ◽  
Early Warning ◽  
Warning Signals ◽  
Test Set ◽  
Early Warning Signals ◽  
Respiratory Infectious Diseases ◽  
Artificial Neural

In order to accurately grasp the timing for the prevention and control of diseases, we established an artificial neural network model to issue early warning signals. The real-time recurrent learning (RTRL) and extended Kalman filter (EKF) methods were performed to analyse four types of respiratory infectious diseases and four types of digestive tract infectious diseases in China to comprehensively determine the epidemic intensities and whether to issue early warning signals. The numbers of new confirmed cases per month between January 2004 and December 2017 were used as the training set; the data from 2018 were used as the test set. The results of RTRL showed that the number of new confirmed cases of respiratory infectious diseases in September 2018 increased abnormally. The results of the EKF showed that the number of new confirmed cases of respiratory infectious diseases increased abnormally in January and February of 2018. The results of these two algorithms showed that the number of new confirmed cases of digestive tract infectious diseases in the test set did not have any abnormal increases. The neural network and machine learning can further enrich and develop the early warning theory.

scholarly journals Methodology for Developing Hydrological Models Based on an Artificial Neural Network to Establish an Early Warning System in Small Catchments

2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ivana Sušanj ◽  
Nevenka Ožanić ◽  
Ivan Marović
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Early Warning ◽  
Early Warning System ◽  
Warning System ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Data Value ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Artificial Neural

In some situations, there is no possibility of hazard mitigation, especially if the hazard is induced by water. Thus, it is important to prevent consequences via an early warning system (EWS) to announce the possible occurrence of a hazard. The aim and objective of this paper are to investigate the possibility of implementing an EWS in a small-scale catchment and to develop a methodology for developing a hydrological prediction model based on an artificial neural network (ANN) as an essential part of the EWS. The methodology is implemented in the case study of the Slani Potok catchment, which is historically recognized as a hazard-prone area, by establishing continuous monitoring of meteorological and hydrological parameters to collect data for the training, validation, and evaluation of the prediction capabilities of the ANN model. The model is validated and evaluated by visual and common calculation approaches and a new evaluation for the assessment. This new evaluation is proposed based on the separation of the observed data into classes based on the mean data value and the percentages of classes above or below the mean data value as well as on the performance of the mean absolute error.

scholarly journals Radial Basis Function Artificial Neural Network for the Investigation of Thyroid Cytological Lesions

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
Christos Fragopoulos ◽  
Abraham Pouliakis ◽  
Christos Meristoudis ◽  
Emmanouil Mastorakis ◽  
Niki Margari ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Radial Basis Function ◽  
Basis Function ◽  
Histological Evaluation ◽  
Image Analysis System ◽  
Training Set ◽  
Test Set ◽  
Radial Basis ◽  
Artificial Neural

Objective. This study investigates the potential of an artificial intelligence (AI) methodology, the radial basis function (RBF) artificial neural network (ANN), in the evaluation of thyroid lesions. Study Design. The study was performed on 447 patients who had both cytological and histological evaluation in agreement. Cytological specimens were prepared using liquid-based cytology, and the histological result was based on subsequent surgical samples. Each specimen was digitized; on these images, nuclear morphology features were measured by the use of an image analysis system. The extracted measurements (41,324 nuclei) were separated into two sets: the training set that was used to create the RBF ANN and the test set that was used to evaluate the RBF performance. The system aimed to predict the histological status as benign or malignant. Results. The RBF ANN obtained in the training set has sensitivity 82.5%, specificity 94.6%, and overall accuracy 90.3%, while in the test set, these indices were 81.4%, 90.0%, and 86.9%, respectively. Algorithm was used to classify patients on the basis of the RBF ANN, the overall sensitivity was 95.0%, the specificity was 95.5%, and no statistically significant difference was observed. Conclusion. AI techniques and especially ANNs, only in the recent years, have been studied extensively. The proposed approach is promising to avoid misdiagnoses and assists the everyday practice of the cytopathology. The major drawback in this approach is the automation of a procedure to accurately detect and measure cell nuclei from the digitized images.

Developing Strategies in the Sharing Economy

2022 ◽  
pp. 1224-1245
Author(s):  
Ramona Diana Leon
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Early Warning ◽  
Early Warning System ◽  
Business Models ◽  
Warning System ◽  
Sharing Economy ◽  
Knowledge Based ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
The One

The sharing economy is challenging the traditional business models and strategies by encouraging collaboration, non-ownership, temporal access, and redistribution of goods and/or services. Within this framework, the current chapter aims to examine how managers influence, voluntarily or involuntarily, the reliability of a managerial early warning system, based on an artificial neural network. The analysis focuses on seven Romanian sustainable knowledge-based organizations and brings forward that managers tend to influence the results provided by a managerial early warning system based on artificial neural network, voluntarily and involuntarily. On the one hand, they are the ones who consciously decide which departments and persons are involved in establishing the structure of the managerial early warning system. On the other hand, they unconsciously influence the structure of the managerial early warning system through the authority they exercise during the managerial debate.

Application of Artificial Neural Network in Corporate Financial Risk Early-Warning

2013 ◽  
Vol 336-338 ◽  
pp. 2476-2479 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hong Xiao Zhou ◽  
Sai Hua Xu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Early Warning ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Financial Risk ◽  
Financial Data ◽  
Early Warning Model ◽  
Risk Warning ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Warning Model

The traditional financial risk warning model are all based on probability theory and statistical analysis, but the precisions of the results are usually not satisfied in practice. This paper studies the application of artificial neural network in corporate financial risk early-warning. It designs an early warning model of financial risk based on BP neural network. And then selects financial data from 30 enterprises as samples to train and test the network. The result indicates that the risk early warning model is very effective. It can solve some problems of the traditional early warning methods such as difficult to deal with highly non-linear and lack of adaptive capacity.

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