Identifying herding effect in Chinese stock market by high-frequency data

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yunfei Hou ◽  
Jianbo Gao ◽  
Fangli Fan ◽  
Feiyan Liu ◽  
Changqing Song
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
High Frequency ◽  
High Frequency Data ◽  
Chinese Stock Market ◽  
Frequency Data

scholarly journals Modeling Financial Intraday Jump Tail Contagion with High Frequency Data Using Mutually Exciting Hawkes Process

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Chao Yu ◽  
Jianxin Bi ◽  
Xujie Zhao
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
High Frequency ◽  
Asset Price ◽  
High Frequency Data ◽  
Background Intensity ◽  
Chinese Stock Market ◽  
Hawkes Process ◽  
Frequency Data ◽  
The Stability

Financial extreme jumps in asset price may propagate across stock markets and lead to the market-wide crashes, which severely threatens the stability of the financial system. In order to analyzing the contagion features of jump tail risk, this paper proposes a mutually exciting contagion model based on Hawkes process with intraday high frequency data. We use a simple two-stage method that first extracts the jump component nonparametrically from the high frequency data and then models the intraday jump tail using mutually exciting Hawkes process. Moreover, we take both the occurrence time and magnitude of jump into account in modeling the conditional intensity of Hawkes process. The proposed method is applied to the five-minute high frequency data of the Chinese stock market. The empirical results show that, for the two main Chinese stock markets, only background intensity is significant in the Shanghai stock market, while mutually exciting effect is significant in the Shenzhen stock market. Both the location and size of jump in the Shanghai stock market have significant stimulation to the next occurrences of jump in the Shenzhen stock market. Furthermore, the proposed model performs very well in predicting the future jump tail events.

The dependence structure in volatility between Shanghai and Shenzhen stock market in China

2016 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 264-283 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mingyuan Guo ◽  
Xu Wang
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
High Frequency ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Garch Model ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
Market Volatility ◽  
High Frequency Data ◽  
Dependence Structure ◽  
Frequency Data ◽  
Content Type

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to analyse the dependence structure in volatility between Shanghai and Shenzhen stock market in China based on high-frequency data. Design/methodology/approach – Using a multiplicative error model (hereinafter MEM) to describe the margins in volatility of China’s Shanghai and Shenzhen stock market, this study adopts static and time-varying copulas, respectively, estimated by maximum likelihood estimation method to describe the dependence structure in volatility between Shanghai and Shenzhen stock market in China. Findings – This paper has identified the asymmetrical dependence structure in financial market volatility more precisely. Gumbel copula could best fit the empirical distribution as it can capture the relatively high dependence degree in the upper tail part corresponding to the period of volatile price fluctuation in both static and dynamic view. Originality/value – Previous scholars mostly use GARCH model to describe the margins for price volatility. As MEM can efficiently characterize the volatility estimators, this paper uses MEM to model the margins for the market volatility directly based on high-frequency data, and proposes a proper distribution for the innovation in the marginal models. Then we could use copula-MEM other than copula-GARCH model to study on the dependence structure in volatility between Shanghai and Shenzhen stock market in China from a microstructural perspective.

Stock market predictability

2014 ◽  
Vol 31 (4) ◽  
pp. 354-370 ◽  
Author(s):  
Silvio John Camilleri ◽  
Christopher J. Green
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
High Frequency ◽  
Serial Correlation ◽  
Design Methodology ◽  
High Frequency Data ◽  
Frequency Data ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Lag Effects ◽  
Daily Data ◽  
Indian Stock Market

Purpose – The main objective of this study is to obtain new empirical evidence on non-synchronous trading effects through modelling the predictability of market indices. Design/methodology/approach – The authors test for lead-lag effects between the Indian Nifty and Nifty Junior indices using Pesaran–Timmermann tests and Granger-Causality. Then, a simple test on overnight returns is proposed to infer whether the observed predictability is mainly attributable to non-synchronous trading or some form of inefficiency. Findings – The evidence suggests that non-synchronous trading is a better explanation for the observed predictability in the Indian Stock Market. Research limitations/implications – The indication that non-synchronous trading effects become more pronounced in high-frequency data suggests that prior studies using daily data may underestimate the impacts of non-synchronicity. Originality/value – The originality of the paper rests on various important contributions: overnight returns is looked at to infer whether predictability is more attributable to non-synchronous trading or to some form of inefficiency; the impacts of non-synchronicity are investigated in terms of lead-lag effects rather than serial correlation; and high-frequency data is used which gauges the impacts of non-synchronicity during less active parts of the trading day.

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