Research and Application of Urban Logistics Demand Forecast Based on Radial Basic Function Neural Network

Author(s):  
Meijuan Gao ◽  
Qian Feng ◽  
Jingwen Tian
2012 ◽  
Vol 253-255 ◽  
pp. 1512-1517
Author(s):  
Jian Feng Luo ◽  
Tian Shan Ma

In order to predict the scale of logistics demand for a new-built regional center, economic indicators and the other related measuring indicator of the scale for logistics demand is studied. The factor analysis and back propagation (BP) artificial neural network theory are applied to set up a model for predicting the scale of the logistics center’ s demand. The factor analysis is applied to this model to reduce the number of indicators of the input layer in the BP artificial neural network, and to reduce complexity. Then model is introduced to fit historical data of the scale of new –built a regional logistics center’ s demand .Finally,a third-layer BP artificial neural network is constructed. This model was applied to predict the scale of the logistics demand in an example and the forecasting result shows that forecasting accuracy of the model is good. It also provides a new way of a new-built regional logistics center’ s demand forecast.


2020 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Hongjiang Ma ◽  
Xu Luo

The irrationality between the procurement and distribution of the logistics system increases unnecessary circulation links and greatly reduces logistics efficiency, which not only causes a waste of transportation resources, but also increases logistics costs. In order to improve the operation efficiency of the logistics system, based on the improved neural network algorithm, this paper combines the logistic regression algorithm to construct a logistics demand forecasting model based on the improved neural network algorithm. Moreover, according to the characteristics of the complexity of the data in the data mining task itself, this article optimizes the ladder network structure, and combines its supervisory decision-making part with the shallow network to make the model more suitable for logistics demand forecasting. In addition, this paper analyzes the performance of the model based on examples and uses the grey relational analysis method to give the degree of correlation between each influencing factor and logistics demand. The research results show that the model constructed in this paper is reasonable and can be analyzed from a practical perspective.


Author(s):  
Lijuan Huang ◽  
Guojie Xie ◽  
Wende Zhao ◽  
Yan Gu ◽  
Yi Huang

AbstractWith the rapid development of e-commerce, the backlog of distribution orders, insufficient logistics capacity and other issues are becoming more and more serious. It is very significant for e-commerce platforms and logistics enterprises to clarify the demand of logistics. To meet this need, a forecasting indicator system of Guangdong logistics demand was constructed from the perspective of e-commerce. The GM (1, 1) model and Back Propagation (BP) neural network model were used to simulate and forecast the logistics demand of Guangdong province from 2000 to 2019. The results show that the Guangdong logistics demand forecasting indicator system has good applicability. Compared with the GM (1, 1) model, the BP neural network model has smaller prediction error and more stable prediction results. Based on the results of the study, it is the recommendation of the authors that e-commerce platforms and logistics enterprises should pay attention to the prediction of regional logistics demand, choose scientific forecasting methods, and encourage the implementation of new distribution modes.


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