Abstract
Lithium-ion batteries have been widely used in renewable energy storage and electrified transport systems, and State-of-Health (SoH) prediction is critical for safe and reliable operation of the lithium-ion batteries. Following the standard routine which predicts battery SoH based on charging curves, a human-knowledge-augmented Gaussian process regression (HAGPR) model is newly proposed for SoH prediction by incorporating two promising artificial intelligence techniques, i.e., the Gaussian process regression (GPR) and the adaptive neural fuzzy inference system (ANFIS). Based on human knowledge on voltage profile during battery degradation, a ANFIS is developed for feature extraction that helps improve machine learning performance and reduce the need of physical testing. Then, the ANFIS is integrated with a GPR model to enable SoH prediction with the extracted feature from battery aging test data. With a conventional GPR model as the baseline, a comparison study is conducted to demonstrate the advantage and robustness of the proposed HAGPR model. It indicates that the proposed HAGPR model can reduce at least 12% root mean square error with 31.8% less battery aging testing compared to the GPR model.
Gaussian Process Regression With Automatic Relevance Determination Kernel for Calendar Aging Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries
