Prediction Interval Estimation of Aero-Engine Remaining Useful Life Based on Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory Network

Author(s):  
Chuang Chen ◽  
Ningyun Lu ◽  
Bin Jiang ◽  
Yin Xing ◽  
Zheng Hong Zhu
IEEE Access ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
pp. 165419-165431
Author(s):  
Benvolence Chinomona ◽  
Chunhui Chung ◽  
Lien-Kai Chang ◽  
Wei-Chih Su ◽  
Mi-Ching Tsai

Author(s):  
Ning He ◽  
Cheng Qian ◽  
Lile He

Abstract As an important energy storage device, lithium-ion batteries have vast applications in daily production and life. Therefore, the remaining useful life prediction of such batteries is of great significance, which can maintain the efficacy and reliability of the system powered by lithium-ion batteries. For predicting remaining useful life of lithium-ion batteries accurately, an adaptive hybrid battery model and an improved particle filter are developed. Firstly, the adaptive hybrid model is constructed, which is a combination of empirical model and long-short term memory neural network model such that it could characterize battery capacity degradation trend more effectively. In addition, the adaptive adjustment of the parameters for hybrid model is realized via optimization technique. Then, the beetle antennae search based particle filter is applied to update the battery states offline constructed by the proposed adaptive hybrid model, which can improve the estimation accuracy. Finally, remaining useful life short-term prediction is realized online based on long short-term memory neural network rolling prediction combined historical capacity with online measurements and latest offline states and model parameters. The battery data set published by NASA is used to verify the effectiveness of proposed strategy. The experimental results indicate that the proposed adaptive hybrid model can well represent the battery degradation characteristics, and have a higher accuracy compared with other models. The short-term remaining useful life prediction results have good performance with the errors of 1 cycle, 3 cycles, and 1 cycle, above results indicate proposed scheme has a good performance on short-term remaining useful life prediction.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pradeep Lall ◽  
Tony Thomas ◽  
Ken Blecker

Abstract Prognostics and Remaining Useful Life (RUL) estimations of complex systems are essential to operational safety, increased efficiency, and help to schedule maintenance proactively. Modeling the remaining useful life of a system with many complexities is possible with the rapid development in the field of deep learning as a computational technique for failure prediction. Deep learning can adapt to multivariate parameters complex and nonlinear behavior, which is difficult using traditional time-series models for forecasting and prediction purposes. In this paper, a deep learning approach based on Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network is used to predict the remaining useful life of the PCB at different conditions of temperature and vibration. This technique can identify the different underlying patterns in the time series that can predict the RUL. This study involves feature vector identification and RUL estimations for SAC305, SAC105, and Tin Lead solder PCBs under different vibration levels and temperature conditions. The acceleration levels of vibration are fixed at 5g and 10g, while the temperature levels are 55°C and 100°C. The test board is a multilayer FR4 configuration with JEDEC standard dimensions consists of twelve packages arranged in a rectangular pattern. Strain signals are acquired from the backside of the PCB at symmetric locations to identify the failure of all the packages during vibration. The strain signals are resistance values that are acquired simultaneously during the experiment until the failure of most of the packages on the board. The feature vectors are identified from statistical analysis on the strain signals frequency and instantaneous frequency components. The principal component analysis is used as a data reduction technique to identify the different patterns produced from the four strain signals with failures of the packages during vibration. LSTM deep learning method is used to model the RUL of the packages at different individual operating conditions of vibration for all three solder materials involved in this study. A combined model for RUL prediction for a material that can take care of the changes in the operating conditions is also modeled for each material.


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