Stock market prediction based on neural network

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chang Huang ◽  
Zhihui Hou ◽  
Yanchu Liu ◽  
Yanlin Wu

Recently, the stock market prediction has become one of the essential application areas of time-series forecasting research. The successful prediction of the stock market can be better guided to the investors to maximize their profit and to minimize the risk of investment. The stock market data are very much complex, non-linear and dynamic. Due to this reason, still, it is a challenging task. In recent time, deep learning method has become one of the most popular machine learning methods for time-series forecasting due to their temporal feature extraction capabilities. In this paper, we have proposed a novel Deep Learning-based Integrated Stacked Model (DISM) that integrates both the 1D Convolution neural network and LSTM recurrent neural network to find the spatial and temporal features from the stock market data. Our proposed DISM is applied to forecast the stock market. Here, we have also compared our proposed DISM with the single structured stacked LSTM, and 1D Convolution neural network models, and some other statistical models. We have observed that our proposed DISM produces better results in terms of accuracy and stability.


2018 ◽  
Vol 76 (3) ◽  
pp. 2098-2118 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiongwen Pang ◽  
Yanqiang Zhou ◽  
Pan Wang ◽  
Weiwei Lin ◽  
Victor Chang

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-19
Author(s):  
GÖRKEM ATAMAN ◽  
SERPIL KAHRAMAN

The BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) acronym was created by the International Monetary Foundation (IMF)–Group of Seven (G7) to represent the bloc of developing economies which crucially impact on the global economy by their potential economic growth. Most of the foreign direct investment are considering the stock markets of BRICS as the most attractive destination for foreign portfolio investment. This study aims to identify the relationship between macroeconomic variables and the stock market index values of BRICS and generate accurate predictions for index values by performing linear regression and artificial neural network hybrid models. Monthly data from January 2003 to December 2019 are used for the empirical study. The results indicate that a strong correlation exists between the stock market and macroeconomic variables in BRICS over time. The hybrid model is observed very accurate for index value prediction where the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) value is 0.714% for the whole data set covering all BRICS countries data during the study period. Additionally, MAPE values for each of the BRICS countries are, respectively, obtained as 0.083%, 2.316%, 0.116%, 0.962% and 0.092%. Thus, the main findings of this study show that while neural network-integrated models have high performances for volatile stock market prediction, macroeconomic stabilization should be the priority of monetary policy to prevent the high volatility of stock markets.


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