scholarly journals Credit Risk Contagion in an Evolving Network Model Integrating Spillover Effects and Behavioral Interventions

Complexity ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-16 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tingqiang Chen ◽  
Binqing Xiao ◽  
Haifei Liu

We introduce an evolving network model of credit risk contagion in the credit risk transfer (CRT) market. The model considers the spillover effects of infected investors, behaviors of investors and regulators, emotional disturbance of investors, market noise, and CRT network structure on credit risk contagion. We use theoretical analysis and numerical simulation to describe the influence and active mechanism of the same spillover effects in the CRT market. We also assess the reciprocal effects of market noises, risk preference of investors, and supervisor strength of financial market regulators on credit risk contagion. This model contributes to the explicit investigation of the connection between the factors of market behavior and network structure. It also provides a theoretical framework for considering credit risk contagion in an evolving network context, which is greatly relevant for credit risk management.

2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ting-Qiang Chen ◽  
Jian-Min He

A network model of credit risk contagion is presented, in which the effect of behaviors of credit risk holders and the financial market regulators and the network structure are considered. By introducing the stochastic dominance theory, we discussed, respectively, the effect mechanisms of the degree of individual relationship, individual attitude to credit risk contagion, the individual ability to resist credit risk contagion, the monitoring strength of the financial market regulators, and the network structure on credit risk contagion. Then some derived and proofed propositions were verified through numerical simulations.


2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tingqiang Chen ◽  
Ying Chen ◽  
Xindan Li ◽  
Jining Wang

This paper reports the effect of the change in the credit status of debtors on investors as a result of the banks’ transferring of credit risk to investors in the credit risk transfer (CRT) market. Thus, an entropy spatial model is introduced, in which the spatial distance and nonlinear coupling between the banks and the investors, the transfer ability of credit risk of banks, and investor appetite for risk in the CRT network are considered. The contagion effects of the credit default of debtor on the default rates of investors in the CRT market are investigated using numerical simulation and sensitivity analysis.


2009 ◽  
Author(s):  
Giovanni Calice ◽  
Christos Ioannidis ◽  
Julian M. Williams

2016 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 317-328 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nesrine Bensalah ◽  
Hassouna Fedhila

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate the reasons that urge US banks to securitize. Design/methodology/approach The authors apply a logistic regression model to a sample of 5,394 observations. The dependent variable takes 1 if the bank securitizes and 0 if not. The authors use also, a Heckman selection model to account for the potential dependence between the decision to securitize and the decision of which assets to securitize. Findings The results indicate that liquidity, credit risk transfer, regulatory capital arbitrage and profitability are the most important factors that drive securitization in the USA. Moreover, the nature of the asset securitized appears to be dependent on the objective that the bank pursues. For funding and capital arbitrage objectives, the bank needs to securitize its mortgage loans. However, for credit risk transfer purposes, it has to opt for a non mortgage securitization. The nature of the asset securitized can thus, be used as a signal for bank’s intentions to securitize. Originality/value This study contributes to a better understanding of the reasons that urge banks to securitize. It also presents, using a Heckman selection procedure, a detailed analysis that discriminates between different types of securitization.


2010 ◽  
Vol 19 (3) ◽  
pp. 308-332 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hendrik Hakenes ◽  
Isabel Schnabel

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