scholarly journals Rough-Number-Based Multiple-Criteria Group Decision-Making Method by Combining the BWM and Prospect Theory

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-16
Author(s):  
Fan Jia ◽  
Xingyuan Wang

Multicriteria group decision-making (MCGDM) problems have been a research hotspot in recent years, and prospect theory is introduced to cope with the risk and imprecision in the process of decision-making. To guarantee the effectiveness of information aggregation and extend the feasibility of prospect theory, this paper proposes a novel decision-making approach based on rough numbers and prospect theory to solve risky and uncertain MCGDM problems. Firstly by combining rough numbers and the best-worst method (BWM), we construct a linear programming model to calculate rough criteria weights, which are defined by lower limitations and upper limitations. Then for the imprecision of value function and weighting function in prospect theory, we propose a novel method with the aid of combining rough numbers and prospect theory to handle the risk in decision-making problems. Finally, a numerical example involving investment is introduced to illustrate the application and validity of the proposed method.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Imran Khan ◽  
Anjana Gupta ◽  
Aparna Mehra

Abstract The linguistic terms in a balanced linguistic term set describing qualitative data are symmetrical around the central linguistic word. With the growing complexity of the problems, the symmetric linguistic term set appears to be confined. This work examines the multiple criteria group decision-making problems where decision-makers employ a 2-tuple unbalanced linguistic term set to provide entries of alternative-criteria matrices.We adopt a data envelopment analysis (DEA) method and create a linear programming model to evaluate alternative-criteria weights for each decision-maker. The value function from prospect theory models the non-rational aspect of risk in criteria. The values of prospect gain and prospect loss on cost and benefit criteria are computed and used to create a DEA model that evaluates the weights of each criterion on each alternative. Finally, the entropy values of the cross-efficiency scores deliver a ranking of the alternatives. A numerical example illustrates the proposed methodology


Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (24) ◽  
pp. 3196
Author(s):  
Xiaoyue Liu ◽  
Dawei Ju

The hesitant fuzzy 2-dimension linguistic element (HF2DLE) allows decision makers to express the importance or reliability of each term included in a hesitant fuzzy linguistic element as a linguistic term. This paper investigates a programming technique for multidimensional analysis of preference for hesitant fuzzy 2-dimension linguistic multicriteria group decision making. Considering the flexibility of HF2DLEs in expressing hesitant qualitative preference information, we first adopt HF2DLEs to depict both the evaluation values of alternatives and the truth degrees of alternative comparisons. To calculate the relative closeness degrees (RCDs) of alternatives, the Euclidean distances between HF2DLEs are defined. Based on RCDs and preference relations on alternatives, the group consistency and inconsistency indices are constructed, and a bi-objective hesitant fuzzy 2-dimension linguistic programming model is established to derive the criteria weights and positive and negative ideal solutions. Since the objective functions and partial constraint coefficients of the established model are HF2DLEs, an effective solution is developed, through which the RCDs can be calculated to obtain the individual rankings of alternatives. Furthermore, a single-objective assignment model is constructed to determine the best alternative. Finally, a case study is conducted to illustrate the feasibility of the proposed method, and its effectiveness is demonstrated by comparison analyses.


2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yan Song ◽  
Hao Yao ◽  
Shuang Yao ◽  
Donghua Yu ◽  
Yan Shen

The assessment of risky linguistic variables has significant applications in multiattribute group decision problems. This paper focuses on risky multicriteria group decision making using linguistic variable assessment and proposes a new model which considers various and differential psychological behavior and the ambiguity of linguistic variable assessment across multicriteria risks. Based on the cloud prospect value assessment, this paper proposes a cloud prospect value aggregation method and consensus degree measurement. An improved feedback adjustment mechanism based on regret theory is employed as the consistency model, which complements prospect theory. The three theoretical methods together constitute the core elements of the proposed CPD (cloud prospect value consensus degree decision) model. The feasibility and validity of the new decision making model are demonstrated with a numerical example, and feedback performance was compared with conventional direct feedback. The proposed CPD approach satisfies given consistency threshold of 0.95 and 0.98 after three and four feedback loops, respectively. Compared to the proposed CPD method, direct feedback approach needs seven and ten feedback loops under the same threshold, respectively, which shows that the proposed model increases efficiency and accuracy of group decision making and significantly reduces time cost.


2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wu Li ◽  
Guanqi Guo ◽  
Xiaoqiang Zhou

The TOPSIS and Cook-Seiford social choice function are generalized and integrated for multicriteria group decision-making (MCGDM) with both cardinal evaluations and ordinal preferences of the alternatives. Unlike traditional TOPSIS, at first, the group’s positive ideal solution and negative ideal solution under cardinal and ordinal preferences are defined, respectively. Thus the group rankings of the alternatives with respect to each criterion are derived from the individual preferences by the modified group TOPSIS considering the weights of decision makers under each criterion. Then the weighted distance function representing the total inconsistency between the comprehensive rankings of all alternatives and the ones under all criteria is presented after the criteria weights are taken into account. Form the perspective of minimizing the criteria-weighted distance of the rankings, a nonlinear integer programming is developed and transformed into an assignment problem to obtain the final rankings of all alternatives. An illustrative case is presented and some comparisons on the results show that the developed approach is practical and effective. This study extends TOPSIS to group decision-making with ordinal preferences and generalizes Cook-Seiford social choice function to multicriteria decision-making considering the criteria weights and can be a novel benchmark for MCGDM with both cardinal and ordinal data.


Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (13) ◽  
pp. 1554
Author(s):  
Dragiša Stanujkić ◽  
Darjan Karabašević ◽  
Gabrijela Popović ◽  
Predrag S. Stanimirović ◽  
Muzafer Saračević ◽  
...  

The environment in which the decision-making process takes place is often characterized by uncertainty and vagueness and, because of that, sometimes it is very hard to express the criteria weights with crisp numbers. Therefore, the application of the Grey System Theory, i.e., grey numbers, in this case, is very convenient when it comes to determination of the criteria weights with partially known information. Besides, the criteria weights have a significant role in the multiple criteria decision-making process. Many ordinary multiple criteria decision-making methods are adapted for using grey numbers, and this is the case in this article as well. A new grey extension of the certain multiple criteria decision-making methods for the determination of the criteria weights is proposed. Therefore, the article aims to propose a new extension of the Step-wise Weight Assessment Ratio Analysis (SWARA) and PIvot Pairwise Relative Criteria Importance Assessment (PIPRECIA) methods adapted for group decision-making. In the proposed approach, attitudes of decision-makers are transformed into grey group attitudes, which allows taking advantage of the benefit that grey numbers provide over crisp numbers. The main advantage of the proposed approach in relation to the use of crisp numbers is the ability to conduct different analyses, i.e., considering different scenarios, such as pessimistic, optimistic, and so on. By varying the value of the whitening coefficient, different weights of the criteria can be obtained, and it should be emphasized that this approach gives the same weights as in the case of crisp numbers when the whitening coefficient has a value of 0.5. In addition, in this approach, the grey number was formed based on the median value of collected responses because it better maintains the deviation from the normal distribution of the collected responses. The application of the proposed approach was considered through two numerical illustrations, based on which appropriate conclusions were drawn.


2021 ◽  
Vol 566 ◽  
pp. 38-56
Author(s):  
Qianlei Jia ◽  
Jiayue Hu ◽  
Qizhi He ◽  
Weiguo Zhang ◽  
Ehab Safwat

Mathematics ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 342 ◽  
Author(s):  
Krishankumar ◽  
Ravichandran ◽  
Ahmed ◽  
Kar ◽  
Peng

As a powerful generalization to fuzzy set, hesitant fuzzy set (HFS) was introduced, which provided multiple possible membership values to be associated with a specific instance. But HFS did not consider occurrence probability values, and to circumvent the issue, probabilistic HFS (PHFS) was introduced, which associates an occurrence probability value with each hesitant fuzzy element (HFE). Providing such a precise probability value is an open challenge and as a generalization to PHFS, interval-valued PHFS (IVPHFS) was proposed. IVPHFS provided flexibility to decision makers (DMs) by associating a range of values as an occurrence probability for each HFE. To enrich the usefulness of IVPHFS in multi-attribute group decision-making (MAGDM), in this paper, we extend the Muirhead mean (MM) operator to IVPHFS for aggregating preferences. The MM operator is a generalized operator that can effectively capture the interrelationship between multiple attributes. Some properties of the proposed operator are also discussed. Then, a new programming model is proposed for calculating the weights of attributes using DMs’ partial information. Later, a systematic procedure is presented for MAGDM with the proposed operator and the practical use of the operator is demonstrated by using a renewable energy source selection problem. Finally, the strengths and weaknesses of the proposal are discussed in comparison with other methods.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document